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Event Predictions

UFC 201 - Lawler vs. Woodley

Atlanta, Georgia
2016-07-30 23:00:00

Favourite wins: 6
Underdog wins: 4
$10 on all favourites nets: $-3.30
$10 on all underdogs nets: $5.50

Unit Betting
Units Bet: 3.25. Profit: -3.25
Total Unit Profit: -3.25

$10 Average Betting System
$10 on all our picks (raw): $-37.10 (4 right, 6 wrong)
$10 on all our picks (weighted): $-20.40 (5 right, 5 wrong)
Weighted betting profit: $-38.37 (5 right, 5 wrong)
Value betting profit: $-55.52 (3 right, 7 wrong)

Average Bet Rating: Low
Average Value Bet Rating: Fair

Key  
Bookies Odds Bookmaker Odds
Raw Picks Raw Picks
Raw Picks Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Weighted Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Your Prediction
Raw Picks Your Confidence
Raw Picks Bookmaker Favourite
Raw Picks Crowd Weighted Pick
Raw Picks Your Pick
Raw Picks Value Pick

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Robbie Lawler vs Tyron Woodley Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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60%
   
42%
42 (76)%
 
13 (24)%
82%
 
18%
80%
 
20%
LOST
Pick Rating Moderate #1
WON
@1.68 Suggested Bet: 3.25 units on Robbie Lawler: Returned -3.25 Units   @2.40
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #1 Ranked $18.33 Bet Profit: $-18.33 #1 Ranked $18.33 Value Bet Profit: $-18.33

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Rose Namajunas vs Karolina Kowalkiewicz Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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64%
   
36%
31 (79)%
 
8 (21)%
82%
 
18%
76%
 
24%
LOST
Pick Rating Fair #2
WON
@1.57 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.80
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #2 Ranked $16.67 Bet Profit: $-16.67 #3 Ranked $15 Value Bet Profit: $-15

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Matt Brown vs Jake Ellenberger Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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71%
   
30%
34 (87)%
 
5 (13)%
87%
 
13%
78%
 
22%
LOST
Pick Rating Low #7
WON
@1.41 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @3.35
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #7 Ranked $8.33 Bet Profit: $-8.33 #10 Ranked $3.33 Value Bet Profit: $-3.33

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Erik Perez vs Francisco Rivera Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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60%
   
41%
4 (31)%
 
9 (69)%
30%
 
70%
54%
 
46%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Poor #10 Fair Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.67 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.46
$10 Bet Profit: $6.7 #10 Ranked $3.33 Bet Profit: $2.23 #8 Ranked $6.67 Value Bet Profit: $-6.67

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Ryan Benoit vs Freddy Serrano Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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50%
   
52%
4 (57)%
 
3 (43)%
59%
 
41%
59%
 
41%
Bookies Favourite
WON
Pick Rating Fair #3
LOST
@2.00 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.94
$10 Bet Profit: $10 #3 Ranked $15 Bet Profit: $15 #4 Ranked $13.33 Value Bet Profit: $13.33

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Nikita Krylov vs Ed Herman Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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68%
   
32%
17 (74)%
 
6 (26)%
73%
 
27%
60%
 
40%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Poor #11 Moderate Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.48 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @3.10
$10 Bet Profit: $4.8 #11 Ranked $1.67 Bet Profit: $0.8 #2 Ranked $16.67 Value Bet Profit: $-16.67

Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Ross Pearson vs Jorge Masvidal Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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32%
   
68%
6 (21)%
 
22 (79)%
24%
 
76%
20%
 
80%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
LOST
#4 Fair Pick Rating
WON
@3.15 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.48
$10 Bet Profit: $4.8 #4 Ranked $13.33 Bet Profit: $6.4 #5 Ranked $11.67 Value Bet Profit: $5.6

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Damian Grabowski vs Anthony Hamilton Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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44%
   
56%
6 (55)%
 
5 (45)%
53%
 
47%
52%
 
48%
Bookies Favourite
LOST
Pick Rating Fair #5
WON
@2.25 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.80
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #5 Ranked $11.67 Bet Profit: $-11.67 #6 Ranked $10 Value Bet Profit: $-10

Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Hector Sandoval vs Wilson Reis Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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25%
   
75%
1 (6)%
 
16 (94)%
5%
 
95%
24%
 
76%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
LOST
#8 Low Pick Rating
WON
@4.05 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.33
$10 Bet Profit: $3.3 #8 Ranked $6.67 Bet Profit: $2.2 #11 Ranked $1.67 Value Bet Profit: $0.55

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Michael Graves vs Bojan Velickovic Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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69%
   
32%
8 (62)%
 
5 (38)%
58%
 
42%
63%
 
37%
Value Pick
DRAW
Pick Rating Poor #9 Fair Anti-Pick
DRAW
@1.44 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @3.10
$10 Bet Profit: $0 #9 Ranked $5 Bet Profit: $0 #7 Ranked $8.33 Value Bet Profit: $0

Bookies Favourite
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog Damien Brown vs Cesar Arzamendia Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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52%
   
48%
6 (43)%
 
8 (57)%
44%
 
56%
48%
 
52%
Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
WON
#6 Fair Pick Rating
LOST
@1.91 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.10
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #6 Ranked $10 Bet Profit: $-10 #9 Ranked $5 Value Bet Profit: $-5


Chart

 

Unit Betting

$ bet per unit:

  % Chance Units
Bet
Potential
Win
Units
Profit
Cash
Bet
Cash
Profit
ROI
Bet on Robbie Lawler vs Tyron Woodley (@1.68) 80%   3.25   2.21   -3.25   $0.00   $0.00
Average Odds: @1.68   3.25 2.21 -3.25   $0.00 $0.00 -100.00%

Bet Every Fight: Bet Calculator

Total Bet Amount:

 

Weighted Betting

Based on a total bet of $110.00 over 11 fights
  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Robbie Lawler Tyron Woodley $18.33 $12.46
 
-$18.33
#2 Rose Namajunas Karolina Kowalkiewicz $16.67 $9.50
 
-$16.67
#3 Ryan Benoit Freddy Serrano $15.00 $15.00
 
$15.00
#4 Jorge Masvidal Ross Pearson $13.33 $6.40
 
$6.40
#5 Damian Grabowski Anthony Hamilton $11.67 $14.59
 
-$11.67
#6 Cesar Arzamendia Damien Brown $10.00 $11.00
 
-$10.00
#7 Matt Brown Jake Ellenberger $8.33 $3.42
 
-$8.33
#8 Wilson Reis Hector Sandoval $6.67 $2.20
 
$2.20
#9 Michael Graves Bojan Velickovic $5.00 $2.20
 
NA
#10 Erik Perez Francisco Rivera $3.33 $2.23
 
$2.23
#11 Nikita Krylov Ed Herman $1.67 $0.80
 
$0.80
      $110.00 $79.80 (73%)   $-38.37 (-35%)

Value Betting

  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Robbie Lawler Tyron Woodley $18.33 $12.46
 
-$18.33
#2 Ed Herman Nikita Krylov $16.67 $35.01
 
-$16.67
#3 Rose Namajunas Karolina Kowalkiewicz $15.00 $8.55
 
-$15.00
#4 Ryan Benoit Freddy Serrano $13.33 $13.33
 
$13.33
#5 Jorge Masvidal Ross Pearson $11.67 $5.60
 
$5.60
#6 Damian Grabowski Anthony Hamilton $10.00 $12.50
 
-$10.00
#7 Bojan Velickovic Michael Graves $8.33 $17.49
 
NA
#8 Francisco Rivera Erik Perez $6.67 $9.74
 
-$6.67
#9 Cesar Arzamendia Damien Brown $5.00 $5.50
 
-$5.00
#10 Matt Brown Jake Ellenberger $3.33 $1.37
 
-$3.33
#11 Wilson Reis Hector Sandoval $1.67 $0.55
 
$0.55
      $110.00 $122.10 (111%)   $-55.52 (-50%)
 
 
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