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Event Predictions

UFC 185 - Pettis vs. Dos Anjos

Dallas
2015-03-14 22:00:00

Favourite wins: 7
Underdog wins: 5
$10 on all favourites nets: $-27.70
$10 on all underdogs nets: $55.00

Unit Betting
Units Bet: 4.5. Profit: -2.47
Total Unit Profit: -2.47

$10 Average Betting System
$10 on all our picks (raw): $-27.70 (7 right, 5 wrong)
$10 on all our picks (weighted): $-27.70 (7 right, 5 wrong)
Weighted betting profit: $-53.47 (7 right, 5 wrong)
Value betting profit: $-35.54 (3 right, 9 wrong)

Average Bet Rating: Poor
Average Value Bet Rating: Moderate

Key  
Bookies Odds Bookmaker Odds
Raw Picks Raw Picks
Raw Picks Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Weighted Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Your Prediction
Raw Picks Your Confidence
Raw Picks Bookmaker Favourite
Raw Picks Crowd Weighted Pick
Raw Picks Your Pick
Raw Picks Value Pick

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Anthony Pettis vs Rafael dos Anjos Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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79%
   
20%
142 (89)%
 
18 (11)%
90%
 
10%
81%
 
19%
LOST
Pick Rating Low #5
WON
@1.27 Suggested Bet: 0.25 units on Anthony Pettis: Returned -0.25 Units   @4.90
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #5 Ranked $12.31 Bet Profit: $-12.31 #11 Ranked $3.08 Value Bet Profit: $-3.08

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Carla Esparza vs Joanna Jedrzejczyk Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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61%
   
40%
92 (74)%
 
32 (26)%
74%
 
26%
71%
 
29%
LOST
Pick Rating Fair #2
WON
@1.63 Suggested Bet: 1.5 units on Carla Esparza: Returned -1.50 Units   @2.48
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #2 Ranked $16.92 Bet Profit: $-16.92 #7 Ranked $9.23 Value Bet Profit: $-9.23

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Johny Hendricks vs Matt Brown Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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77%
   
23%
138 (87)%
 
21 (13)%
88%
 
12%
79%
 
21%
WON
Pick Rating Low #6
LOST
@1.30 Suggested Bet: 0.25 units on Johny Hendricks: Returned 0.07 Units   @4.26
$10 Bet Profit: $3 #6 Ranked $10.77 Bet Profit: $3.23 #12 Ranked $1.54 Value Bet Profit: $0.46

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Alistair Overeem vs Roy Nelson Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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65%
   
36%
76 (51)%
 
72 (49)%
54%
 
46%
62%
 
38%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Poor #7 Low Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.54 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @2.80
$10 Bet Profit: $5.4 #7 Ranked $9.23 Bet Profit: $4.98 #10 Ranked $4.62 Value Bet Profit: $-4.62

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Henry Cejudo vs Chris Cariaso Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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83%
   
17%
77 (79)%
 
21 (21)%
79%
 
21%
72%
 
28%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Poor #10 Very Good Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.20 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @6.02
$10 Bet Profit: $2 #10 Ranked $4.62 Bet Profit: $0.92 #2 Ranked $16.92 Value Bet Profit: $-16.92

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Ross Pearson vs Sam Stout Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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77%
   
23%
93 (78)%
 
27 (23)%
77%
 
23%
62%
 
38%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Very Poor #11 Good+ Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.30 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @4.26
$10 Bet Profit: $3 #11 Ranked $3.08 Bet Profit: $0.92 #3 Ranked $15.38 Value Bet Profit: $-15.38

Value Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Roger Narvaez vs Elias Theodorou Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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25%
   
76%
17 (22)%
 
62 (78)%
24%
 
76%
30%
 
70%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
LOST
Anti-Pick Fair #9 Poor Pick Rating
WON
@3.94 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @1.31
$10 Bet Profit: $3.1 #9 Ranked $6.15 Bet Profit: $1.91 #5 Ranked $12.31 Value Bet Profit: $-12.31

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Daron Cruickshank vs Beneil Dariush Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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58%
   
42%
70 (75)%
 
23 (25)%
77%
 
23%
66%
 
34%
LOST
Pick Rating Fair #3
WON
@1.73 Suggested Bet: 1.25 units on Daron Cruickshank: Returned -1.25 Units   @2.37
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #3 Ranked $15.38 Bet Profit: $-15.38 #8 Ranked $7.69 Value Bet Profit: $-7.69

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Jared Rosholt vs Josh Copeland Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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74%
   
27%
78 (86)%
 
13 (14)%
86%
 
14%
84%
 
16%
WON
Pick Rating Fair #4
LOST
@1.36 Suggested Bet: 1.25 units on Jared Rosholt: Returned 0.45 Units   @3.73
$10 Bet Profit: $3.6 #4 Ranked $13.85 Bet Profit: $4.99 #9 Ranked $6.15 Value Bet Profit: $2.21

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Sergio Pettis vs Ryan Benoit Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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82%
   
19%
101 (95)%
 
5 (5)%
95%
 
5%
75%
 
25%
Value Pick
LOST
Pick Rating Poor #8 Moderate Anti-Pick
WON
@1.22 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @5.35
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #8 Ranked $7.69 Bet Profit: $-7.69 #4 Ranked $13.85 Value Bet Profit: $60.25

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Joseph Duffy vs Jake Lindsey Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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82%
   
18%
49 (75)%
 
16 (25)%
76%
 
24%
64%
 
36%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Very Poor #12 Fantastic Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.22 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @5.62
$10 Bet Profit: $2.2 #12 Ranked $1.54 Bet Profit: $0.34 #1 Ranked $18.46 Value Bet Profit: $-18.46

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Larissa Pacheco vs Germaine de Randamie Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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58%
   
42%
38 (64)%
 
21 (36)%
64%
 
36%
68%
 
32%
LOST
Pick Rating Fair #1
WON
@1.71 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.40
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #1 Ranked $18.46 Bet Profit: $-18.46 #6 Ranked $10.77 Value Bet Profit: $-10.77


Chart

 

Unit Betting

$ bet per unit:

  % Chance Units
Bet
Potential
Win
Units
Profit
Cash
Bet
Cash
Profit
ROI
Bet on Carla Esparza vs Joanna Jedrzejczyk (@1.63) 71%   1.5   0.94   -1.50   $0.00   $0.00
Bet on Daron Cruickshank vs Beneil Dariush (@1.73) 66%   1.25   0.91   -1.25   $0.00   $0.00
Bet on Jared Rosholt vs Josh Copeland (@1.36) 84%   1.25   0.45   0.45   $0.00   $0.00 36%
Bet on Johny Hendricks vs Matt Brown (@1.30) 79%   0.25   0.07   0.07   $0.00   $0.00 30%
Bet on Anthony Pettis vs Rafael dos Anjos (@1.27) 81%   0.25   0.07   -0.25   $0.00   $0.00
Average Odds: @1.44   4.5 2.45 -2.48   $0.00 $0.00 -55.00%

Bet Every Fight: Bet Calculator

Total Bet Amount:

 

Weighted Betting

Based on a total bet of $120.00 over 12 fights
  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Larissa Pacheco Germaine de Randamie $18.46 $13.11
 
-$18.46
#2 Carla Esparza Joanna Jedrzejczyk $16.92 $10.66
 
-$16.92
#3 Daron Cruickshank Beneil Dariush $15.38 $11.23
 
-$15.38
#4 Jared Rosholt Josh Copeland $13.85 $4.99
 
$4.99
#5 Anthony Pettis Rafael dos Anjos $12.31 $3.32
 
-$12.31
#6 Johny Hendricks Matt Brown $10.77 $3.23
 
$3.23
#7 Alistair Overeem Roy Nelson $9.23 $4.98
 
$4.98
#8 Sergio Pettis Ryan Benoit $7.69 $1.69
 
-$7.69
#9 Elias Theodorou Roger Narvaez $6.15 $1.91
 
$1.91
#10 Henry Cejudo Chris Cariaso $4.62 $0.92
 
$0.92
#11 Ross Pearson Sam Stout $3.08 $0.92
 
$0.92
#12 Joseph Duffy Jake Lindsey $1.54 $0.34
 
$0.34
      $120.00 $57.30 (48%)   $-53.47 (-45%)

Value Betting

  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Jake Lindsey Joseph Duffy $18.46 $85.29
 
-$18.46
#2 Chris Cariaso Henry Cejudo $16.92 $84.94
 
-$16.92
#3 Sam Stout Ross Pearson $15.38 $50.14
 
-$15.38
#4 Ryan Benoit Sergio Pettis $13.85 $60.25
 
$60.25
#5 Roger Narvaez Elias Theodorou $12.31 $36.19
 
-$12.31
#6 Larissa Pacheco Germaine de Randamie $10.77 $7.65
 
-$10.77
#7 Carla Esparza Joanna Jedrzejczyk $9.23 $5.81
 
-$9.23
#8 Daron Cruickshank Beneil Dariush $7.69 $5.61
 
-$7.69
#9 Jared Rosholt Josh Copeland $6.15 $2.21
 
$2.21
#10 Roy Nelson Alistair Overeem $4.62 $8.32
 
-$4.62
#11 Anthony Pettis Rafael dos Anjos $3.08 $0.83
 
-$3.08
#12 Johny Hendricks Matt Brown $1.54 $0.46
 
$0.46
      $120.00 $347.70 (290%)   $-35.54 (-30%)
 
 
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