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Event Predictions

UFC Fight Night - Dos Anjos vs. Alvarez

Las Vegas
2016-07-07 22:30:00

Favourite wins: 8
Underdog wins: 4
$10 on all favourites nets: $3.30
$10 on all underdogs nets: $-21.00

Unit Betting
Units Bet: 5.5. Profit: -1.96
Total Unit Profit: -1.96

$10 Average Betting System
$10 on all our picks (raw): $10.70 (8 right, 4 wrong)
$10 on all our picks (weighted): $-26.30 (6 right, 6 wrong)
Weighted betting profit: $-45.05 (6 right, 6 wrong)
Value betting profit: $-56.53 (5 right, 7 wrong)

Average Bet Rating: Good
Average Value Bet Rating: Good

Key  
Bookies Odds Bookmaker Odds
Raw Picks Raw Picks
Raw Picks Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Weighted Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Your Prediction
Raw Picks Your Confidence
Raw Picks Bookmaker Favourite
Raw Picks Crowd Weighted Pick
Raw Picks Your Pick
Raw Picks Value Pick

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Rafael dos Anjos vs Eddie Alvarez Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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74%
   
28%
51 (81)%
 
12 (19)%
85%
 
15%
92%
 
8%
LOST
Pick Rating Moderate #7
WON
@1.35 Suggested Bet: 2.25 units on Rafael dos Anjos: Returned -2.25 Units   @3.60
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #7 Ranked $9.23 Bet Profit: $-9.23 #8 Ranked $7.69 Value Bet Profit: $-7.69

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Roy Nelson vs Derrick Lewis Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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51%
   
49%
31 (61)%
 
20 (39)%
63%
 
37%
58%
 
42%
LOST
Pick Rating Fair #10
WON
@1.95 Suggested Bet: 1.25 units on Roy Nelson: Returned -1.25 Units   @2.05
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #10 Ranked $4.62 Bet Profit: $-4.62 #11 Ranked $3.08 Value Bet Profit: $-3.08

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Alan Jouban vs Belal Muhammad Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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52%
   
45%
14 (74)%
 
5 (26)%
74%
 
26%
78%
 
22%
WON
Pick Rating Good #4
LOST
@1.91 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.20
$10 Bet Profit: $9.1 #4 Ranked $13.85 Bet Profit: $12.6 #4 Ranked $13.85 Value Bet Profit: $12.6

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Joseph Duffy vs Mitch Clarke Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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77%
   
22%
37 (93)%
 
3 (8)%
93%
 
7%
78%
 
22%
WON
Pick Rating Low #11
LOST
@1.30 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @4.55
$10 Bet Profit: $3 #11 Ranked $3.08 Bet Profit: $0.92 #12 Ranked $1.54 Value Bet Profit: $0.46

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Mike Pyle vs Alberto Mina Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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53%
   
49%
13 (65)%
 
7 (35)%
67%
 
33%
83%
 
17%
LOST
Pick Rating Good+ #3
WON
@1.87 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.05
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #3 Ranked $15.38 Bet Profit: $-15.38 #3 Ranked $15.38 Value Bet Profit: $-15.38

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile John Makdessi vs Mehdi Baghdad Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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56%
   
45%
21 (70)%
 
9 (30)%
73%
 
27%
68%
 
32%
WON
Pick Rating Moderate #9
LOST
@1.77 Suggested Bet: 2 units on John Makdessi: Returned 1.54 Units   @2.20
$10 Bet Profit: $7.7 #9 Ranked $6.15 Bet Profit: $4.74 #10 Ranked $4.62 Value Bet Profit: $3.56

Bookies Favourite
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Anthony Birchak vs Dileno Lopes Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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68%
   
33%
8 (42)%
 
11 (58)%
42%
 
58%
48%
 
52%
Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
WON
#2 Good+ Pick Rating
LOST
@1.46 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @3.05
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #2 Ranked $16.92 Bet Profit: $-16.92 #2 Ranked $16.92 Value Bet Profit: $-16.92

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Russell Doane vs Pedro Munhoz Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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33%
   
67%
3 (38)%
 
5 (63)%
49%
 
51%
76%
 
24%
Bookies Favourite
LOST
Pick Rating Fantastic #1
WON
@3.00 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.50
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #1 Ranked $18.46 Bet Profit: $-18.46 #1 Ranked $18.46 Value Bet Profit: $-18.46

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Felipe Arantes vs Jerrod Sanders Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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60%
   
41%
6 (75)%
 
2 (25)%
84%
 
16%
87%
 
13%
WON
Pick Rating Good #5
LOST
@1.67 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.45
$10 Bet Profit: $6.7 #5 Ranked $12.31 Bet Profit: $8.25 #6 Ranked $10.77 Value Bet Profit: $7.22

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Gilbert Burns vs Lukasz Sajewski Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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69%
   
30%
17 (81)%
 
4 (19)%
82%
 
18%
84%
 
16%
WON
Pick Rating Moderate #8
LOST
@1.44 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @3.30
$10 Bet Profit: $4.4 #8 Ranked $7.69 Bet Profit: $3.38 #9 Ranked $6.15 Value Bet Profit: $2.71

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Reginaldo Vieira vs Marco Beltran Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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56%
   
45%
6 (43)%
 
8 (57)%
45%
 
55%
75%
 
25%
LOST
Pick Rating Good #6
WON
@1.80 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.20
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #6 Ranked $10.77 Bet Profit: $-10.77 #7 Ranked $9.23 Value Bet Profit: $-9.23

Value Pick
Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Alvaro Herrera vs Vicente Luque Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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22%
   
78%
6 (43)%
 
8 (57)%
47%
 
53%
34%
 
66%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
LOST
Anti-Pick Good #12 Poor Pick Rating
WON
@4.45 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.28
$10 Bet Profit: $2.8 #12 Ranked $1.54 Bet Profit: $0.43 #5 Ranked $12.31 Value Bet Profit: $-12.31


Chart

 

Unit Betting

$ bet per unit:

  % Chance Units
Bet
Potential
Win
Units
Profit
Cash
Bet
Cash
Profit
ROI
Bet on Rafael dos Anjos vs Eddie Alvarez (@1.35) 92%   2.25   0.79   -2.25   $0.00   $0.00
Bet on John Makdessi vs Mehdi Baghdad (@1.77) 68%   2   1.54   1.54   $0.00   $0.00 77%
Bet on Roy Nelson vs Derrick Lewis (@1.95) 58%   1.25   1.19   -1.25   $0.00   $0.00
Average Odds: @1.65   5.5 3.51 -1.96   $0.00 $0.00 -35.64%

Bet Every Fight: Bet Calculator

Total Bet Amount:

 

Weighted Betting

Based on a total bet of $120.00 over 12 fights
  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Russell Doane Pedro Munhoz $18.46 $36.92
 
-$18.46
#2 Dileno Lopes Anthony Birchak $16.92 $34.69
 
-$16.92
#3 Mike Pyle Alberto Mina $15.38 $13.38
 
-$15.38
#4 Alan Jouban Belal Muhammad $13.85 $12.60
 
$12.60
#5 Felipe Arantes Jerrod Sanders $12.31 $8.25
 
$8.25
#6 Reginaldo Vieira Marco Beltran $10.77 $8.62
 
-$10.77
#7 Rafael dos Anjos Eddie Alvarez $9.23 $3.23
 
-$9.23
#8 Gilbert Burns Lukasz Sajewski $7.69 $3.38
 
$3.38
#9 John Makdessi Mehdi Baghdad $6.15 $4.74
 
$4.74
#10 Roy Nelson Derrick Lewis $4.62 $4.39
 
-$4.62
#11 Joseph Duffy Mitch Clarke $3.08 $0.92
 
$0.92
#12 Vicente Luque Alvaro Herrera $1.54 $0.43
 
$0.43
      $120.00 $131.55 (110%)   $-45.05 (-38%)

Value Betting

  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Russell Doane Pedro Munhoz $18.46 $36.92
 
-$18.46
#2 Dileno Lopes Anthony Birchak $16.92 $34.69
 
-$16.92
#3 Mike Pyle Alberto Mina $15.38 $13.38
 
-$15.38
#4 Alan Jouban Belal Muhammad $13.85 $12.60
 
$12.60
#5 Alvaro Herrera Vicente Luque $12.31 $42.47
 
-$12.31
#6 Felipe Arantes Jerrod Sanders $10.77 $7.22
 
$7.22
#7 Reginaldo Vieira Marco Beltran $9.23 $7.38
 
-$9.23
#8 Rafael dos Anjos Eddie Alvarez $7.69 $2.69
 
-$7.69
#9 Gilbert Burns Lukasz Sajewski $6.15 $2.71
 
$2.71
#10 John Makdessi Mehdi Baghdad $4.62 $3.56
 
$3.56
#11 Roy Nelson Derrick Lewis $3.08 $2.93
 
-$3.08
#12 Joseph Duffy Mitch Clarke $1.54 $0.46
 
$0.46
      $120.00 $167.00 (139%)   $-56.53 (-47%)
 
 
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