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Event Predictions

UFC 200 - Tate vs. Nunes

Las Vegas
2016-07-09 23:00:00

Favourite wins: 7
Underdog wins: 5
$10 on all favourites nets: $-19.90
$10 on all underdogs nets: $0.50

Unit Betting
Units Bet: 15.75. Profit: -9.95
Total Unit Profit: -9.95

$10 Average Betting System
$10 on all our picks (raw): $1.20 (8 right, 4 wrong)
$10 on all our picks (weighted): $-33.10 (6 right, 6 wrong)
Weighted betting profit: $-45.91 (6 right, 6 wrong)
Value betting profit: $-52.74 (5 right, 7 wrong)

Average Bet Rating: Fair
Average Value Bet Rating: Fair

Key  
Bookies Odds Bookmaker Odds
Raw Picks Raw Picks
Raw Picks Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Weighted Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Your Prediction
Raw Picks Your Confidence
Raw Picks Bookmaker Favourite
Raw Picks Crowd Weighted Pick
Raw Picks Your Pick
Raw Picks Value Pick

Value Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Brock Lesnar vs Mark Hunt Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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42%
   
59%
31 (45)%
 
38 (55)%
46%
 
54%
42%
 
58%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
WON
Anti-Pick Low #11 Poor Pick Rating
LOST
@2.40 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @1.69
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #11 Ranked $3.08 Bet Profit: $-3.08 #11 Ranked $3.08 Value Bet Profit: $4.31

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Miesha Tate vs Amanda Nunes Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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71%
   
31%
83 (92)%
 
7 (8)%
93%
 
7%
74%
 
26%
LOST
Pick Rating Low #8
WON
@1.41 Suggested Bet: 0.25 units on Miesha Tate: Returned -0.25 Units   @3.25
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #8 Ranked $7.69 Bet Profit: $-7.69 #9 Ranked $6.15 Value Bet Profit: $-6.15

Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Jose Aldo vs Frankie Edgar Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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50%
   
52%
42 (51)%
 
41 (49)%
53%
 
47%
42%
 
58%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
WON
#5 Fair Pick Rating
LOST
@2.00 Suggested Bet: 1 units on Frankie Edgar: Returned -1.00 Units   @1.94
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #5 Ranked $12.31 Bet Profit: $-12.31 #5 Ranked $12.31 Value Bet Profit: $-12.31

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Daniel Cormier vs Anderson Silva Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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78%
   
20%
26 (96)%
 
1 (4)%
97%
 
3%
82%
 
18%
WON
Pick Rating Low #6
LOST
@1.28 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @5.10
$10 Bet Profit: $2.8 #6 Ranked $10.77 Bet Profit: $3.02 #7 Ranked $9.23 Value Bet Profit: $2.58

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Cain Velasquez vs Travis Browne Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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74%
   
29%
71 (88)%
 
10 (12)%
90%
 
10%
68%
 
32%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Poor #12 Fair Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.36 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @3.46
$10 Bet Profit: $3.6 #12 Ranked $1.54 Bet Profit: $0.55 #6 Ranked $10.77 Value Bet Profit: $-10.77

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile T.J. Dillashaw vs Raphael Assuncao Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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76%
   
24%
58 (91)%
 
6 (9)%
92%
 
8%
79%
 
21%
WON
Pick Rating Low #7
LOST
@1.32 Suggested Bet: 0.25 units on T.J. Dillashaw: Returned 0.08 Units   @4.09
$10 Bet Profit: $3.2 #7 Ranked $9.23 Bet Profit: $2.95 #8 Ranked $7.69 Value Bet Profit: $2.46

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Cat Zingano vs Julianna Pena Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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59%
   
43%
49 (75)%
 
16 (25)%
80%
 
20%
78%
 
22%
LOST
Pick Rating Moderate #2
WON
@1.70 Suggested Bet: 3.25 units on Cat Zingano: Returned -3.25 Units   @2.35
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #2 Ranked $16.92 Bet Profit: $-16.92 #2 Ranked $16.92 Value Bet Profit: $-16.92

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Johny Hendricks vs Kelvin Gastelum Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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51%
   
52%
44 (71)%
 
18 (29)%
71%
 
29%
62%
 
38%
Bookies Favourite
LOST
Pick Rating Moderate #4
WON
@1.98 Suggested Bet: 2 units on Johny Hendricks: Returned -2.00 Units   @1.94
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #4 Ranked $13.85 Bet Profit: $-13.85 #4 Ranked $13.85 Value Bet Profit: $-13.85

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Sage Northcutt vs Enrique Marin Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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77%
   
25%
58 (92)%
 
5 (8)%
92%
 
8%
75%
 
25%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Poor #10 Low Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.30 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @4.05
$10 Bet Profit: $3 #10 Ranked $4.62 Bet Profit: $1.39 #12 Ranked $1.54 Value Bet Profit: $-1.54

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Joe Lauzon vs Diego Sanchez Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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49%
   
52%
34 (61)%
 
22 (39)%
58%
 
42%
62%
 
38%
Bookies Favourite
WON
Pick Rating Moderate #3
LOST
@2.05 Suggested Bet: 2.5 units on Joe Lauzon: Returned 2.63 Units   @1.91
$10 Bet Profit: $10.5 #3 Ranked $15.38 Bet Profit: $16.15 #3 Ranked $15.38 Value Bet Profit: $16.15

Bookies Favourite
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Gegard Mousasi vs Thiago Santos Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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70%
   
31%
40 (87)%
 
6 (13)%
91%
 
9%
49%
 
51%
Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
WON
#1 Good+ Pick Rating
LOST
@1.43 Suggested Bet: 6.25 units on Thiago Santos: Returned -6.25 Units   @3.25
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #1 Ranked $18.46 Bet Profit: $-18.46 #1 Ranked $18.46 Value Bet Profit: $-18.46

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Jim Miller vs Takanori Gomi Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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72%
   
29%
47 (84)%
 
9 (16)%
84%
 
16%
75%
 
25%
WON
Pick Rating Low #9
LOST
@1.38 Suggested Bet: 0.25 units on Jim Miller: Returned 0.09 Units   @3.41
$10 Bet Profit: $3.8 #9 Ranked $6.15 Bet Profit: $2.34 #10 Ranked $4.62 Value Bet Profit: $1.76


Chart

 

Unit Betting

$ bet per unit:

  % Chance Units
Bet
Potential
Win
Units
Profit
Cash
Bet
Cash
Profit
ROI
Bet on Thiago Santos vs Gegard Mousasi (@3.25) 51%   6.25   14.06   -6.25   $0.00   $0.00
Bet on Cat Zingano vs Julianna Pena (@1.70) 78%   3.25   2.28   -3.25   $0.00   $0.00
Bet on Joe Lauzon vs Diego Sanchez (@2.05) 62%   2.5   2.62   2.63   $0.00   $0.00 105%
Bet on Johny Hendricks vs Kelvin Gastelum (@1.98) 62%   2   1.96   -2.00   $0.00   $0.00
Bet on Frankie Edgar vs Jose Aldo (@1.94) 58%   1   0.94   -1.00   $0.00   $0.00
Bet on Jim Miller vs Takanori Gomi (@1.38) 75%   0.25   0.09   0.09   $0.00   $0.00 38%
Bet on Miesha Tate vs Amanda Nunes (@1.41) 74%   0.25   0.10   -0.25   $0.00   $0.00
Bet on T.J. Dillashaw vs Raphael Assuncao (@1.32) 79%   0.25   0.08   0.08   $0.00   $0.00 32%
Average Odds: @1.74   15.75 22.14 -9.95   $0.00 $0.00 -63.17%

Bet Every Fight: Bet Calculator

Total Bet Amount:

 

Weighted Betting

Based on a total bet of $120.00 over 12 fights
  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Thiago Santos Gegard Mousasi $18.46 $41.54
 
-$18.46
#2 Cat Zingano Julianna Pena $16.92 $11.84
 
-$16.92
#3 Joe Lauzon Diego Sanchez $15.38 $16.15
 
$16.15
#4 Johny Hendricks Kelvin Gastelum $13.85 $13.57
 
-$13.85
#5 Frankie Edgar Jose Aldo $12.31 $11.57
 
-$12.31
#6 Daniel Cormier Anderson Silva $10.77 $3.02
 
$3.02
#7 T.J. Dillashaw Raphael Assuncao $9.23 $2.95
 
$2.95
#8 Miesha Tate Amanda Nunes $7.69 $3.15
 
-$7.69
#9 Jim Miller Takanori Gomi $6.15 $2.34
 
$2.34
#10 Sage Northcutt Enrique Marin $4.62 $1.39
 
$1.39
#11 Mark Hunt Brock Lesnar $3.08 $2.13
 
-$3.08
#12 Cain Velasquez Travis Browne $1.54 $0.55
 
$0.55
      $120.00 $110.20 (92%)   $-45.91 (-38%)

Value Betting

  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Thiago Santos Gegard Mousasi $18.46 $41.54
 
-$18.46
#2 Cat Zingano Julianna Pena $16.92 $11.84
 
-$16.92
#3 Joe Lauzon Diego Sanchez $15.38 $16.15
 
$16.15
#4 Johny Hendricks Kelvin Gastelum $13.85 $13.57
 
-$13.85
#5 Frankie Edgar Jose Aldo $12.31 $11.57
 
-$12.31
#6 Travis Browne Cain Velasquez $10.77 $26.49
 
-$10.77
#7 Daniel Cormier Anderson Silva $9.23 $2.58
 
$2.58
#8 T.J. Dillashaw Raphael Assuncao $7.69 $2.46
 
$2.46
#9 Miesha Tate Amanda Nunes $6.15 $2.52
 
-$6.15
#10 Jim Miller Takanori Gomi $4.62 $1.76
 
$1.76
#11 Brock Lesnar Mark Hunt $3.08 $4.31
 
$4.31
#12 Enrique Marin Sage Northcutt $1.54 $4.70
 
-$1.54
      $120.00 $139.50 (116%)   $-52.74 (-44%)
 
 
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