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Event Predictions

UFC 184 - Rousey vs. Zingano

Los Angeles
2015-02-28 22:00:00

Favourite wins: 8
Underdog wins: 2
$10 on all favourites nets: $12.00
$10 on all underdogs nets: $-39.20

Unit Betting
Units Bet: 9.75. Profit: -7.90
Total Unit Profit: -7.90

$10 Average Betting System
$10 on all our picks (raw): $-5.20 (7 right, 3 wrong)
$10 on all our picks (weighted): $-5.20 (7 right, 3 wrong)
Weighted betting profit: $-15.44 (7 right, 3 wrong)
Value betting profit: $-62.56 (3 right, 7 wrong)

Average Bet Rating: Low
Average Value Bet Rating: Moderate

Key  
Bookies Odds Bookmaker Odds
Raw Picks Raw Picks
Raw Picks Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Weighted Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Your Prediction
Raw Picks Your Confidence
Raw Picks Bookmaker Favourite
Raw Picks Crowd Weighted Pick
Raw Picks Your Pick
Raw Picks Value Pick

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Ronda Rousey vs Cat Zingano Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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85%
   
14%
119 (87)%
 
18 (13)%
90%
 
10%
84%
 
16%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Poor #8 Fair Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.18 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @7.14
$10 Bet Profit: $1.8 #8 Ranked $6.67 Bet Profit: $1.2 #5 Ranked $11.67 Value Bet Profit: $-11.67

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Holly Holm vs Raquel Pennington Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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86%
   
16%
84 (76)%
 
26 (24)%
80%
 
20%
70%
 
30%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Very Poor #10 Extremely Good Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.16 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @6.25
$10 Bet Profit: $1.6 #10 Ranked $3.33 Bet Profit: $0.53 #1 Ranked $18.33 Value Bet Profit: $-18.33

Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Josh Koscheck vs Jake Ellenberger Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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36%
   
66%
33 (28)%
 
86 (72)%
27%
 
73%
27%
 
73%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
LOST
#3 Fair Pick Rating
WON
@2.78 Suggested Bet: 1 units on Jake Ellenberger: Returned 0.52 Units   @1.52
$10 Bet Profit: $5.2 #3 Ranked $15 Bet Profit: $7.8 #6 Ranked $10 Value Bet Profit: $5.2

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Alan Jouban vs Rich Walsh Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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75%
   
26%
50 (68)%
 
23 (32)%
73%
 
27%
77%
 
23%
WON
Pick Rating Low #5
LOST
@1.33 Suggested Bet: 0.25 units on Alan Jouban: Returned 0.08 Units   @3.85
$10 Bet Profit: $3.3 #5 Ranked $11.67 Bet Profit: $3.85 #9 Ranked $5 Value Bet Profit: $1.65

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Tony Ferguson vs Gleison Tibau Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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70%
   
31%
74 (65)%
 
39 (35)%
67%
 
33%
53%
 
47%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Very Poor #11 Good+ Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.43 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @3.23
$10 Bet Profit: $4.3 #11 Ranked $1.67 Bet Profit: $0.72 #3 Ranked $15 Value Bet Profit: $-15

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Mark Munoz vs Roan Carneiro Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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72%
   
29%
94 (91)%
 
9 (9)%
91%
 
9%
72%
 
28%
LOST
Pick Rating Poor #6
WON
@1.39 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @3.45
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #6 Ranked $10 Bet Profit: $-10 #11 Ranked $1.67 Value Bet Profit: $-1.67

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Norifumi Yamamoto vs Roman Salazar Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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63%
   
37%
42 (60)%
 
28 (40)%
62%
 
38%
63%
 
37%
Value Pick
CANCELLED / NC
Pick Rating Poor #7 Low Anti-Pick
CANCELLED / NC
@1.59 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @2.70
$10 Bet Profit: $0 #7 Ranked $8.33 Bet Profit: $0 #10 Ranked $3.33 Value Bet Profit: $0

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Dhiego Lima vs Tim Means Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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43%
   
58%
48 (64)%
 
27 (36)%
67%
 
33%
79%
 
21%
Bookies Favourite
LOST
Pick Rating Extremely Good #1
WON
@2.33 Suggested Bet: 8.5 units on Dhiego Lima: Returned -8.50 Units   @1.72
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #1 Ranked $18.33 Bet Profit: $-18.33 #2 Ranked $16.67 Value Bet Profit: $-16.67

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Derrick Lewis vs Ruan Potts Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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84%
   
18%
59 (88)%
 
8 (12)%
88%
 
12%
81%
 
19%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Poor #9 Low Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.19 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @5.56
$10 Bet Profit: $1.9 #9 Ranked $5 Bet Profit: $0.95 #8 Ranked $6.67 Value Bet Profit: $-6.67

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile James Krause vs Valmir Lazaro Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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63%
   
38%
30 (56)%
 
24 (44)%
57%
 
43%
70%
 
30%
LOST
Pick Rating Fair #4
WON
@1.59 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.63
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #4 Ranked $13.33 Bet Profit: $-13.33 #7 Ranked $8.33 Value Bet Profit: $-8.33

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Masio Fullen vs Alexander Torres Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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60%
   
42%
27 (61)%
 
17 (39)%
63%
 
37%
74%
 
26%
WON
Pick Rating Moderate #2
LOST
@1.67 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.38
$10 Bet Profit: $6.7 #2 Ranked $16.67 Bet Profit: $11.17 #4 Ranked $13.33 Value Bet Profit: $8.93


Chart

 

Unit Betting

$ bet per unit:

  % Chance Units
Bet
Potential
Win
Units
Profit
Cash
Bet
Cash
Profit
ROI
Bet on Dhiego Lima vs Tim Means (@2.33) 79%   8.5   11.30   -8.50   $0.00   $0.00
Bet on Jake Ellenberger vs Josh Koscheck (@1.52) 73%   1   0.52   0.52   $0.00   $0.00 52%
Bet on Alan Jouban vs Rich Walsh (@1.33) 77%   0.25   0.08   0.08   $0.00   $0.00 33%
Average Odds: @1.63   9.75 11.91 -7.90   $0.00 $0.00 -81.00%

Bet Every Fight: Bet Calculator

Total Bet Amount:

 

Weighted Betting

Based on a total bet of $110.00 over 11 fights
  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Dhiego Lima Tim Means $18.33 $24.38
 
-$18.33
#2 Masio Fullen Alexander Torres $16.67 $11.17
 
$11.17
#3 Jake Ellenberger Josh Koscheck $15.00 $7.80
 
$7.80
#4 James Krause Valmir Lazaro $13.33 $7.86
 
-$13.33
#5 Alan Jouban Rich Walsh $11.67 $3.85
 
$3.85
#6 Mark Munoz Roan Carneiro $10.00 $3.90
 
-$10.00
#7 Norifumi Yamamoto Roman Salazar $8.33 $4.91
 
NA
#8 Ronda Rousey Cat Zingano $6.67 $1.20
 
$1.20
#9 Derrick Lewis Ruan Potts $5.00 $0.95
 
$0.95
#10 Holly Holm Raquel Pennington $3.33 $0.53
 
$0.53
#11 Tony Ferguson Gleison Tibau $1.67 $0.72
 
$0.72
      $110.00 $67.28 (61%)   $-15.44 (-14%)

Value Betting

  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Raquel Pennington Holly Holm $18.33 $96.23
 
-$18.33
#2 Dhiego Lima Tim Means $16.67 $22.17
 
-$16.67
#3 Gleison Tibau Tony Ferguson $15.00 $33.45
 
-$15.00
#4 Masio Fullen Alexander Torres $13.33 $8.93
 
$8.93
#5 Cat Zingano Ronda Rousey $11.67 $71.65
 
-$11.67
#6 Jake Ellenberger Josh Koscheck $10.00 $5.20
 
$5.20
#7 James Krause Valmir Lazaro $8.33 $4.91
 
-$8.33
#8 Ruan Potts Derrick Lewis $6.67 $30.42
 
-$6.67
#9 Alan Jouban Rich Walsh $5.00 $1.65
 
$1.65
#10 Roman Salazar Norifumi Yamamoto $3.33 $5.66
 
NA
#11 Mark Munoz Roan Carneiro $1.67 $0.65
 
-$1.67
      $110.00 $280.93 (255%)   $-62.56 (-57%)
 
 
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