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Event Predictions

UFC Fight Night - MacDonald vs. Thompson

Ottawa, Canada
2016-06-18 23:00:00

Favourite wins: 10
Underdog wins: 3
$10 on all favourites nets: $31.10
$10 on all underdogs nets: $-57.20

Unit Betting
Units Bet: 8. Profit: 4.18
Total Unit Profit: 4.18

$10 Average Betting System
$10 on all our picks (raw): $12.00 (9 right, 4 wrong)
$10 on all our picks (weighted): $61.80 (11 right, 2 wrong)
Weighted betting profit: $71.53 (11 right, 2 wrong)
Value betting profit: $45.15 (8 right, 5 wrong)

Average Bet Rating: Moderate
Average Value Bet Rating: Moderate

Key  
Bookies Odds Bookmaker Odds
Raw Picks Raw Picks
Raw Picks Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Weighted Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Your Prediction
Raw Picks Your Confidence
Raw Picks Bookmaker Favourite
Raw Picks Crowd Weighted Pick
Raw Picks Your Pick
Raw Picks Value Pick

Bookies Favourite
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Rory MacDonald vs Stephen Thompson Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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52%
   
49%
29 (52)%
 
27 (48)%
54%
 
46%
20%
 
80%
Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
LOST
#2 Good+ Pick Rating
WON
@1.91 Suggested Bet: 6 units on Stephen Thompson: Returned 6.18 Units   @2.03
$10 Bet Profit: $10.3 #2 Ranked $17.14 Bet Profit: $17.65 #2 Ranked $17.14 Value Bet Profit: $17.65

Bookies Favourite
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Donald Cerrone vs Patrick Cote Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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58%
   
42%
43 (81)%
 
10 (19)%
84%
 
16%
49%
 
51%
Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
WON
#7 Moderate Pick Rating
LOST
@1.71 Suggested Bet: 2 units on Patrick Cote: Returned -2.00 Units   @2.38
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #7 Ranked $10 Bet Profit: $-10 #7 Ranked $10 Value Bet Profit: $-10

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Steve Bosse vs Sean O'Connell Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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57%
   
44%
20 (77)%
 
6 (23)%
79%
 
21%
71%
 
29%
WON
Pick Rating Moderate #6
LOST
@1.74 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.25
$10 Bet Profit: $7.4 #6 Ranked $11.43 Bet Profit: $8.46 #6 Ranked $11.43 Value Bet Profit: $8.46

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Olivier Aubin-Mercier vs Thibault Gouti Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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78%
   
23%
23 (85)%
 
4 (15)%
86%
 
14%
75%
 
25%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Poor #12 Low Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.29 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @4.28
$10 Bet Profit: $2.9 #12 Ranked $2.86 Bet Profit: $0.83 #10 Ranked $5.71 Value Bet Profit: $-5.71

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Valerie Letourneau vs Joanne Calderwood Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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60%
   
40%
19 (66)%
 
10 (34)%
67%
 
33%
89%
 
11%
LOST
Pick Rating Good #3
WON
@1.68 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.50
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #3 Ranked $15.71 Bet Profit: $-15.71 #3 Ranked $15.71 Value Bet Profit: $-15.71

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Jason Saggo vs Leandro Silva Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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53%
   
47%
9 (56)%
 
7 (44)%
57%
 
43%
54%
 
46%
WON
Pick Rating Low #10
LOST
@1.88 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.13
$10 Bet Profit: $8.8 #10 Ranked $5.71 Bet Profit: $5.02 #13 Ranked $1.43 Value Bet Profit: $1.26

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Misha Cirkunov vs Ion Cutelaba Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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67%
   
36%
14 (88)%
 
2 (13)%
91%
 
9%
70%
 
30%
WON
Pick Rating Low #9
LOST
@1.50 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.81
$10 Bet Profit: $5 #9 Ranked $7.14 Bet Profit: $3.57 #12 Ranked $2.86 Value Bet Profit: $1.43

Bookies Favourite
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Tamdan McCrory vs Krzysztof Jotko Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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63%
   
36%
15 (65)%
 
8 (35)%
67%
 
33%
34%
 
66%
Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
LOST
#1 Extremely Good Pick Rating
WON
@1.58 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.75
$10 Bet Profit: $17.5 #1 Ranked $18.57 Bet Profit: $32.5 #1 Ranked $18.57 Value Bet Profit: $32.5

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Joe Soto vs Chris Beal Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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52%
   
48%
9 (47)%
 
10 (53)%
48%
 
52%
70%
 
30%
WON
Pick Rating Moderate #5
LOST
@1.91 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.08
$10 Bet Profit: $9.1 #5 Ranked $12.86 Bet Profit: $11.7 #5 Ranked $12.86 Value Bet Profit: $11.7

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Elias Theodorou vs Sam Alvey Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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70%
   
31%
14 (52)%
 
13 (48)%
54%
 
46%
65%
 
35%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Poor #13 Fair Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.43 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @3.25
$10 Bet Profit: $4.3 #13 Ranked $1.43 Bet Profit: $0.61 #9 Ranked $7.14 Value Bet Profit: $-7.14

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Randa Markos vs Jocelyn Jones-Lybarger Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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55%
   
44%
15 (88)%
 
2 (12)%
89%
 
11%
75%
 
25%
WON
Pick Rating Good #4
LOST
@1.81 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.25
$10 Bet Profit: $8.1 #4 Ranked $14.29 Bet Profit: $11.57 #4 Ranked $14.29 Value Bet Profit: $11.57

Value Pick
Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Jonathan Meunier vs Colby Covington Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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31%
   
69%
8 (44)%
 
10 (56)%
49%
 
51%
33%
 
67%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
LOST
Anti-Pick Low #11 Poor Pick Rating
WON
@3.25 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.44
$10 Bet Profit: $4.4 #11 Ranked $4.29 Bet Profit: $1.89 #11 Ranked $4.29 Value Bet Profit: $-4.29

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Ali Bagautinov vs Geane Herrera Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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71%
   
31%
12 (75)%
 
4 (25)%
79%
 
21%
82%
 
18%
WON
Pick Rating Fair #8
LOST
@1.40 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @3.25
$10 Bet Profit: $4 #8 Ranked $8.57 Bet Profit: $3.43 #8 Ranked $8.57 Value Bet Profit: $3.43


Chart

 

Unit Betting

$ bet per unit:

  % Chance Units
Bet
Potential
Win
Units
Profit
Cash
Bet
Cash
Profit
ROI
Bet on Stephen Thompson vs Rory MacDonald (@2.03) 80%   6   6.18   6.18   $0.00   $0.00 103%
Bet on Patrick Cote vs Donald Cerrone (@2.38) 51%   2   2.76   -2.00   $0.00   $0.00
Average Odds: @2.19   8 8.94 4.18   $0.00 $0.00 52.25%

Bet Every Fight: Bet Calculator

Total Bet Amount:

 

Weighted Betting

Based on a total bet of $130.00 over 13 fights
  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Krzysztof Jotko Tamdan McCrory $18.57 $32.50
 
$32.50
#2 Stephen Thompson Rory MacDonald $17.14 $17.65
 
$17.65
#3 Valerie Letourneau Joanne Calderwood $15.71 $10.68
 
-$15.71
#4 Randa Markos Jocelyn Jones-Lybarger $14.29 $11.57
 
$11.57
#5 Joe Soto Chris Beal $12.86 $11.70
 
$11.70
#6 Steve Bosse Sean O'Connell $11.43 $8.46
 
$8.46
#7 Patrick Cote Donald Cerrone $10.00 $13.80
 
-$10.00
#8 Ali Bagautinov Geane Herrera $8.57 $3.43
 
$3.43
#9 Misha Cirkunov Ion Cutelaba $7.14 $3.57
 
$3.57
#10 Jason Saggo Leandro Silva $5.71 $5.02
 
$5.02
#11 Colby Covington Jonathan Meunier $4.29 $1.89
 
$1.89
#12 Olivier Aubin-Mercier Thibault Gouti $2.86 $0.83
 
$0.83
#13 Elias Theodorou Sam Alvey $1.43 $0.61
 
$0.61
      $130.00 $121.72 (94%)   $71.53 (55%)

Value Betting

  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Krzysztof Jotko Tamdan McCrory $18.57 $32.50
 
$32.50
#2 Stephen Thompson Rory MacDonald $17.14 $17.65
 
$17.65
#3 Valerie Letourneau Joanne Calderwood $15.71 $10.68
 
-$15.71
#4 Randa Markos Jocelyn Jones-Lybarger $14.29 $11.57
 
$11.57
#5 Joe Soto Chris Beal $12.86 $11.70
 
$11.70
#6 Steve Bosse Sean O'Connell $11.43 $8.46
 
$8.46
#7 Patrick Cote Donald Cerrone $10.00 $13.80
 
-$10.00
#8 Ali Bagautinov Geane Herrera $8.57 $3.43
 
$3.43
#9 Sam Alvey Elias Theodorou $7.14 $16.07
 
-$7.14
#10 Thibault Gouti Olivier Aubin-Mercier $5.71 $18.73
 
-$5.71
#11 Jonathan Meunier Colby Covington $4.29 $9.65
 
-$4.29
#12 Misha Cirkunov Ion Cutelaba $2.86 $1.43
 
$1.43
#13 Jason Saggo Leandro Silva $1.43 $1.26
 
$1.26
      $130.00 $156.93 (121%)   $45.15 (35%)
 
 
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