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Event Predictions

UFC Fight Night - Overeem vs. Arlovski

Rotterdam, Netherlands
2016-05-08 15:30:00

Favourite wins: 9
Underdog wins: 4
$10 on all favourites nets: $-2.60
$10 on all underdogs nets: $-33.50

Unit Betting
Units Bet: . Profit: 0.00
Total Unit Profit:

$10 Average Betting System
$10 on all our picks (raw): $18.80 (9 right, 3 wrong)
$10 on all our picks (weighted): $44.90 (11 right, 2 wrong)
Weighted betting profit: $60.79 (11 right, 2 wrong)
Value betting profit: $-3.23 (6 right, 7 wrong)

Average Bet Rating: Low
Average Value Bet Rating: Fair
Key  
Bookies Odds Bookmaker Odds
Raw Picks Raw Picks
Raw Picks Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Weighted Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Your Prediction
Raw Picks Your Confidence
Raw Picks Bookmaker Favourite
Raw Picks Crowd Weighted Pick
Raw Picks Your Pick
Raw Picks Value Pick

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Alistair Overeem vs Andrei Arlovski Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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67%
   
33%
36 (88)%
 
5 (12)%
88%
 
12%
70%
 
30%
WON
Pick Rating Low #7
LOST
@1.49 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @3.00
$10 Bet Profit: $4.9 #7 Ranked $12.86 Bet Profit: $6.3 #12 Ranked $8.57 Value Bet Profit: $4.2

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Stefan Struve vs Antonio Silva Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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65%
   
34%
22 (59)%
 
15 (41)%
61%
 
39%
55%
 
45%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Very Poor #10 Moderate Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.53 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.90
$10 Bet Profit: $5.3 #10 Ranked $1.43 Bet Profit: $0.76 #6 Ranked $15.71 Value Bet Profit: $-15.71

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Albert Tumenov vs Gunnar Nelson Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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62%
   
39%
14 (54)%
 
12 (46)%
55%
 
45%
63%
 
37%
LOST
Pick Rating Low #3
WON
@1.61 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.55
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #3 Ranked $8.57 Bet Profit: $-8.57 #3 Ranked $2.86 Value Bet Profit: $-2.86

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Germaine de Randamie vs Anna Elmose Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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78%
   
23%
8 (73)%
 
3 (27)%
72%
 
28%
70%
 
30%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Poor #9 Moderate Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.29 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @4.35
$10 Bet Profit: $2.9 #9 Ranked $2.86 Bet Profit: $0.83 #7 Ranked $14.29 Value Bet Profit: $-14.29

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Nikita Krylov vs Francimar Barroso Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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67%
   
34%
16 (89)%
 
2 (11)%
91%
 
9%
79%
 
21%
WON
Pick Rating Fair #5
LOST
@1.50 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.90
$10 Bet Profit: $5 #5 Ranked $17.14 Bet Profit: $8.57 #10 Ranked $12.86 Value Bet Profit: $6.43

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Karolina Kowalkiewicz vs Heather Clark Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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71%
   
29%
17 (85)%
 
3 (15)%
87%
 
13%
71%
 
29%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Poor #8 Poor Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.40 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @3.45
$10 Bet Profit: $4 #8 Ranked $7.14 Bet Profit: $2.86 #11 Ranked $1.43 Value Bet Profit: $-1.43

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Rustam Khabilov vs Chris Wade Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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64%
   
36%
20 (77)%
 
6 (23)%
79%
 
21%
66%
 
34%
WON
Pick Rating Low #2
LOST
@1.57 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.75
$10 Bet Profit: $5.7 #2 Ranked $10 Bet Profit: $5.7 #2 Ranked $5.71 Value Bet Profit: $3.25

Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Garreth McLellan vs Magnus Cedenblad Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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27%
   
74%
10 (67)%
 
5 (33)%
72%
 
28%
22%
 
78%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
LOST
#12 Low Pick Rating
WON
@3.65 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.36
$10 Bet Profit: $3.6 #12 Ranked $14.29 Bet Profit: $5.14 #5 Ranked $10 Value Bet Profit: $3.6

Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Josh Emmett vs Jon Tuck Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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43%
   
57%
1 (33)%
 
2 (67)%
42%
 
58%
41%
 
59%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
WON
#4 Low Pick Rating
LOST
@2.35 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.76
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #4 Ranked $11.43 Bet Profit: $-11.43 #4 Ranked $7.14 Value Bet Profit: $-7.14

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Reza Madadi vs Yan Cabral Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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40%
   
61%
9 (75)%
 
3 (25)%
70%
 
30%
60%
 
40%
Bookies Favourite
WON
Pick Rating Good+ #1
LOST
@2.50 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.64
$10 Bet Profit: $15 #1 Ranked $18.57 Bet Profit: $27.86 #1 Ranked $18.57 Value Bet Profit: $27.86

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Kyoji Horiguchi vs Neil Seery Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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83%
   
16%
29 (91)%
 
3 (9)%
92%
 
8%
78%
 
22%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Poor #6 Good Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.20 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @6.25
$10 Bet Profit: $2 #6 Ranked $4.29 Bet Profit: $0.86 #13 Ranked $17.14 Value Bet Profit: $-17.14

Value Pick
Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Dominic Waters vs Leon Edwards Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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30%
   
71%
5 (42)%
 
7 (58)%
40%
 
60%
31%
 
69%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
LOST
Anti-Pick Low #11 Poor Pick Rating
WON
@3.33 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.40
$10 Bet Profit: $4 #11 Ranked $5.71 Bet Profit: $2.28 #8 Ranked $4.29 Value Bet Profit: $-4.29

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Yuta Sasaki vs Willie Gates Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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44%
   
56%
4 (40)%
 
6 (60)%
37%
 
63%
51%
 
49%
Bookies Favourite
WON
Pick Rating Fair #13
LOST
@2.25 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.77
$10 Bet Profit: $12.5 #13 Ranked $15.71 Bet Profit: $19.64 #9 Ranked $11.43 Value Bet Profit: $14.29


Chart

 

Unit Betting

$ bet per unit:

  % Chance Units
Bet 		Potential
Win 		Units
Profit 		Cash
Bet 		Cash
Profit 		ROI
Average Odds: @nan   0 0.00 0.00   $0.00 $0.00 nan%

Bet Every Fight: Bet Calculator
Total Bet Amount:

 

Weighted Betting

Based on a total bet of $130.00 over 13 fights
  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)		 Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Reza Madadi Yan Cabral $18.57 $27.86
 
$27.86
#2 Nikita Krylov Francimar Barroso $17.14 $8.57
 
$8.57
#3 Yuta Sasaki Willie Gates $15.71 $19.64
 
$19.64
#4 Magnus Cedenblad Garreth McLellan $14.29 $5.14
 
$5.14
#5 Alistair Overeem Andrei Arlovski $12.86 $6.30
 
$6.30
#6 Jon Tuck Josh Emmett $11.43 $8.69
 
-$11.43
#7 Rustam Khabilov Chris Wade $10.00 $5.70
 
$5.70
#8 Albert Tumenov Gunnar Nelson $8.57 $5.23
 
-$8.57
#9 Karolina Kowalkiewicz Heather Clark $7.14 $2.86
 
$2.86
#10 Leon Edwards Dominic Waters $5.71 $2.28
 
$2.28
#11 Kyoji Horiguchi Neil Seery $4.29 $0.86
 
$0.86
#12 Germaine de Randamie Anna Elmose $2.86 $0.83
 
$0.83
#13 Stefan Struve Antonio Silva $1.43 $0.76
 
$0.76
      $130.00 $94.71 (73%)   $60.79 (47%)

Value Betting

  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)		 Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Reza Madadi Yan Cabral $18.57 $27.86
 
$27.86
#2 Neil Seery Kyoji Horiguchi $17.14 $89.99
 
-$17.14
#3 Antonio Silva Stefan Struve $15.71 $29.85
 
-$15.71
#4 Anna Elmose Germaine de Randamie $14.29 $47.87
 
-$14.29
#5 Nikita Krylov Francimar Barroso $12.86 $6.43
 
$6.43
#6 Yuta Sasaki Willie Gates $11.43 $14.29
 
$14.29
#7 Magnus Cedenblad Garreth McLellan $10.00 $3.60
 
$3.60
#8 Alistair Overeem Andrei Arlovski $8.57 $4.20
 
$4.20
#9 Jon Tuck Josh Emmett $7.14 $5.43
 
-$7.14
#10 Rustam Khabilov Chris Wade $5.71 $3.25
 
$3.25
#11 Dominic Waters Leon Edwards $4.29 $10.00
 
-$4.29
#12 Albert Tumenov Gunnar Nelson $2.86 $1.74
 
-$2.86
#13 Heather Clark Karolina Kowalkiewicz $1.43 $3.50
 
-$1.43
      $130.00 $248.00 (191%)   $-3.23 (-2%)
 
 
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