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Event Predictions

UFC Fight Night - Mir vs. Bigfoot

Porto Alegre, Brazil
2015-02-22 16:00:00

Favourite wins: 1
Underdog wins: 10
$10 on all favourites nets: $-95.50
$10 on all underdogs nets: $293.00

Unit Betting
Units Bet: 20.75. Profit: 49.58
Total Unit Profit: 49.58

$10 Average Betting System
$10 on all our picks (raw): $-95.50 (1 right, 10 wrong)
$10 on all our picks (weighted): $-23.40 (3 right, 8 wrong)
Weighted betting profit: $36.74 (3 right, 8 wrong)
Value betting profit: $113.64 (4 right, 7 wrong)

Average Bet Rating: Moderate
Average Value Bet Rating: Moderate

Key  
Bookies Odds Bookmaker Odds
Raw Picks Raw Picks
Raw Picks Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Weighted Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Your Prediction
Raw Picks Your Confidence
Raw Picks Bookmaker Favourite
Raw Picks Crowd Weighted Pick
Raw Picks Your Pick
Raw Picks Value Pick

Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Frank Mir vs Antonio Silva Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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29%
   
69%
28 (30)%
 
66 (70)%
27%
 
73%
28%
 
72%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
WON
#8 Low Pick Rating
LOST
@3.45 Suggested Bet: 0.25 units on Antonio Silva: Returned -0.25 Units   @1.45
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #8 Ranked $6.67 Bet Profit: $-6.67 #9 Ranked $5 Value Bet Profit: $-5

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Edson Barboza vs Michael Johnson Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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63%
   
38%
55 (66)%
 
28 (34)%
71%
 
29%
71%
 
29%
LOST
Pick Rating Fair #5
WON
@1.59 Suggested Bet: 1.25 units on Edson Barboza: Returned -1.25 Units   @2.63
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #5 Ranked $11.67 Bet Profit: $-11.67 #5 Ranked $11.67 Value Bet Profit: $-11.67

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Cezar Ferreira vs Sam Alvey Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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76%
   
24%
37 (66)%
 
19 (34)%
70%
 
30%
90%
 
10%
LOST
Pick Rating Fair #3
WON
@1.32 Suggested Bet: 1.75 units on Cezar Ferreira: Returned -1.75 Units   @4.17
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #3 Ranked $15 Bet Profit: $-15 #3 Ranked $15 Value Bet Profit: $-15

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Rustam Khabilov vs Adriano Martins Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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83%
   
18%
65 (92)%
 
6 (8)%
93%
 
7%
83%
 
17%
LOST
Pick Rating Poor #10
WON
@1.20 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @5.56
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #10 Ranked $3.33 Bet Profit: $-3.33 #11 Ranked $1.67 Value Bet Profit: $-1.67

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Iuri Alcantara vs Frankie Saenz Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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88%
   
13%
50 (83)%
 
10 (17)%
84%
 
16%
86%
 
14%
Value Pick
LOST
Pick Rating Poor #11 Low Anti-Pick
WON
@1.14 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @7.69
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #11 Ranked $1.67 Bet Profit: $-1.67 #6 Ranked $10 Value Bet Profit: $66.9

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Santiago Ponzinibbio vs Sean Strickland Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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35%
   
65%
17 (40)%
 
26 (60)%
39%
 
61%
79%
 
21%
Bookies Favourite
WON
Pick Rating Fantastic #2
LOST
@2.86 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.54
$10 Bet Profit: $18.6 #2 Ranked $16.67 Bet Profit: $31.01 #2 Ranked $16.67 Value Bet Profit: $31.01

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Jessica Andrade vs Marion Reneau Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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71%
   
30%
46 (78)%
 
13 (22)%
76%
 
24%
74%
 
26%
LOST
Pick Rating Low #7
WON
@1.41 Suggested Bet: 0.25 units on Jessica Andrade: Returned -0.25 Units   @3.33
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #7 Ranked $8.33 Bet Profit: $-8.33 #8 Ranked $6.67 Value Bet Profit: $-6.67

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Matt Dwyer vs William Macario Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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23%
   
79%
16 (31)%
 
35 (69)%
31%
 
69%
59%
 
41%
Bookies Favourite
WON
Pick Rating Fantastic #1
LOST
@4.35 Suggested Bet: 15.75 units on Matt Dwyer: Returned 52.76 Units   @1.27
$10 Bet Profit: $33.5 #1 Ranked $18.33 Bet Profit: $61.41 #1 Ranked $18.33 Value Bet Profit: $61.41

Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Mike de la Torre vs Tiago Trator Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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33%
   
68%
6 (15)%
 
35 (85)%
16%
 
84%
28%
 
72%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
WON
#6 Low Pick Rating
LOST
@3.03 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.47
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #6 Ranked $10 Bet Profit: $-10 #7 Ranked $8.33 Value Bet Profit: $-8.33

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Cody Gibson vs Douglas Silva de Andrade Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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70%
   
31%
22 (51)%
 
21 (49)%
50%
 
50%
72%
 
28%
LOST
Pick Rating Low #9
WON
@1.43 Suggested Bet: 0.25 units on Cody Gibson: Returned -0.25 Units   @3.23
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #9 Ranked $5 Bet Profit: $-5 #10 Ranked $3.33 Value Bet Profit: $-3.33

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Ivan Jorge vs Josh Shockley Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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69%
   
32%
35 (88)%
 
5 (13)%
88%
 
12%
78%
 
22%
WON
Pick Rating Fair #4
LOST
@1.45 Suggested Bet: 1.25 units on Ivan Jorge: Returned 0.56 Units   @3.13
$10 Bet Profit: $4.5 #4 Ranked $13.33 Bet Profit: $6 #4 Ranked $13.33 Value Bet Profit: $6


Chart

 

Unit Betting

$ bet per unit:

  % Chance Units
Bet
Potential
Win
Units
Profit
Cash
Bet
Cash
Profit
ROI
Bet on Matt Dwyer vs William Macario (@4.35) 59%   15.75   52.76   52.76   $0.00   $0.00 335%
Bet on Cezar Ferreira vs Sam Alvey (@1.32) 90%   1.75   0.56   -1.75   $0.00   $0.00
Bet on Edson Barboza vs Michael Johnson (@1.59) 71%   1.25   0.74   -1.25   $0.00   $0.00
Bet on Ivan Jorge vs Josh Shockley (@1.45) 78%   1.25   0.56   0.56   $0.00   $0.00 45%
Bet on Antonio Silva vs Frank Mir (@1.45) 72%   0.25   0.11   -0.25   $0.00   $0.00
Bet on Jessica Andrade vs Marion Reneau (@1.41) 74%   0.25   0.10   -0.25   $0.00   $0.00
Bet on Cody Gibson vs Douglas Silva de Andrade (@1.43) 72%   0.25   0.11   -0.25   $0.00   $0.00
Average Odds: @1.59   20.75 54.95 49.58   $0.00 $0.00 238.92%

Bet Every Fight: Bet Calculator

Total Bet Amount:

 

Weighted Betting

Based on a total bet of $110.00 over 11 fights
  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Matt Dwyer William Macario $18.33 $61.41
 
$61.41
#2 Santiago Ponzinibbio Sean Strickland $16.67 $31.01
 
$31.01
#3 Cezar Ferreira Sam Alvey $15.00 $4.80
 
-$15.00
#4 Ivan Jorge Josh Shockley $13.33 $6.00
 
$6.00
#5 Edson Barboza Michael Johnson $11.67 $6.89
 
-$11.67
#6 Tiago Trator Mike de la Torre $10.00 $4.70
 
-$10.00
#7 Jessica Andrade Marion Reneau $8.33 $3.42
 
-$8.33
#8 Antonio Silva Frank Mir $6.67 $3.00
 
-$6.67
#9 Cody Gibson Douglas Silva de Andrade $5.00 $2.15
 
-$5.00
#10 Rustam Khabilov Adriano Martins $3.33 $0.67
 
-$3.33
#11 Iuri Alcantara Frankie Saenz $1.67 $0.23
 
-$1.67
      $110.00 $124.26 (113%)   $36.74 (33%)

Value Betting

  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Matt Dwyer William Macario $18.33 $61.41
 
$61.41
#2 Santiago Ponzinibbio Sean Strickland $16.67 $31.01
 
$31.01
#3 Cezar Ferreira Sam Alvey $15.00 $4.80
 
-$15.00
#4 Ivan Jorge Josh Shockley $13.33 $6.00
 
$6.00
#5 Edson Barboza Michael Johnson $11.67 $6.89
 
-$11.67
#6 Frankie Saenz Iuri Alcantara $10.00 $66.90
 
$66.90
#7 Tiago Trator Mike de la Torre $8.33 $3.92
 
-$8.33
#8 Jessica Andrade Marion Reneau $6.67 $2.73
 
-$6.67
#9 Antonio Silva Frank Mir $5.00 $2.25
 
-$5.00
#10 Cody Gibson Douglas Silva de Andrade $3.33 $1.43
 
-$3.33
#11 Rustam Khabilov Adriano Martins $1.67 $0.33
 
-$1.67
      $110.00 $187.66 (171%)   $113.64 (103%)
 
 
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