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Event Predictions

UFC 183 - Silva vs. Diaz

Las Vegas
2015-01-31 18:00:00

Favourite wins: 7
Underdog wins: 4
$10 on all favourites nets: $-9.10
$10 on all underdogs nets: $-5.70

Unit Betting
Units Bet: 40.75. Profit: 4.65
Total Unit Profit: 4.65

$10 Average Betting System
$10 on all our picks (raw): $48.30 (9 right, 2 wrong)
$10 on all our picks (weighted): $19.90 (7 right, 4 wrong)
Weighted betting profit: $25.55 (7 right, 4 wrong)
Value betting profit: $35.30 (6 right, 5 wrong)

Average Bet Rating: Good
Average Value Bet Rating: Good+

Key  
Bookies Odds Bookmaker Odds
Raw Picks Raw Picks
Raw Picks Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Weighted Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Your Prediction
Raw Picks Your Confidence
Raw Picks Bookmaker Favourite
Raw Picks Crowd Weighted Pick
Raw Picks Your Pick
Raw Picks Value Pick

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Anderson Silva vs Nick Diaz Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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83%
   
19%
77 (82)%
 
17 (18)%
84%
 
16%
79%
 
21%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Poor #10 Fair Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.20 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @5.26
$10 Bet Profit: $2 #10 Ranked $3.33 Bet Profit: $0.67 #11 Ranked $1.67 Value Bet Profit: $-1.67

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Tyron Woodley vs Kelvin Gastelum Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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43%
   
50%
51 (60)%
 
34 (40)%
59%
 
41%
63%
 
37%
Bookies Favourite
WON
Pick Rating Good #4
LOST
@2.33 Suggested Bet: 4.5 units on Tyron Woodley: Returned 5.98 Units   @2.00
$10 Bet Profit: $13.3 #4 Ranked $13.33 Bet Profit: $17.73 #4 Ranked $13.33 Value Bet Profit: $17.73

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Joe Lauzon vs Al Iaquinta Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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36%
   
64%
50 (65)%
 
27 (35)%
65%
 
35%
57%
 
43%
Bookies Favourite
LOST
Pick Rating Good+ #3
WON
@2.78 Suggested Bet: 5.75 units on Joe Lauzon: Returned -5.75 Units   @1.56
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #3 Ranked $15 Bet Profit: $-15 #3 Ranked $15 Value Bet Profit: $-15

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Tim Boetsch vs Thales Leites Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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20%
   
81%
34 (44)%
 
44 (56)%
46%
 
54%
55%
 
45%
Bookies Favourite
LOST
Pick Rating Fantastic #1
WON
@5.00 Suggested Bet: 17.25 units on Tim Boetsch: Returned -17.25 Units   @1.23
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #1 Ranked $18.33 Bet Profit: $-18.33 #1 Ranked $18.33 Value Bet Profit: $-18.33

Bookies Favourite
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Jordan Mein vs Thiago Alves Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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57%
   
44%
24 (32)%
 
51 (68)%
32%
 
68%
47%
 
53%
Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
LOST
#7 Moderate Pick Rating
WON
@1.75 Suggested Bet: 2 units on Thiago Alves: Returned 2.54 Units   @2.27
$10 Bet Profit: $12.7 #7 Ranked $8.33 Bet Profit: $10.58 #8 Ranked $6.67 Value Bet Profit: $8.47

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Miesha Tate vs Sara McMann Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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37%
   
61%
49 (64)%
 
28 (36)%
63%
 
37%
79%
 
21%
Bookies Favourite
WON
Pick Rating Fantastic #2
LOST
@2.70 Suggested Bet: 11.25 units on Miesha Tate: Returned 19.13 Units   @1.64
$10 Bet Profit: $17 #2 Ranked $16.67 Bet Profit: $28.34 #2 Ranked $16.67 Value Bet Profit: $28.34

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Derek Brunson vs Ed Herman Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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85%
   
17%
38 (62)%
 
23 (38)%
62%
 
38%
81%
 
19%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Poor #9 Fair Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.18 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @5.88
$10 Bet Profit: $1.8 #9 Ranked $5 Bet Profit: $0.9 #10 Ranked $3.33 Value Bet Profit: $-3.33

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Ian McCall vs John Lineker Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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70%
   
32%
46 (68)%
 
22 (32)%
68%
 
32%
60%
 
40%
Value Pick
LOST
Pick Rating Poor #11 Moderate Anti-Pick
WON
@1.43 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @3.13
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #11 Ranked $1.67 Bet Profit: $-1.67 #7 Ranked $8.33 Value Bet Profit: $17.74

Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Tom Watson vs Rafael Natal Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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41%
   
58%
14 (22)%
 
49 (78)%
24%
 
76%
21%
 
79%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
LOST
#5 Good Pick Rating
WON
@2.44 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.72
$10 Bet Profit: $7.2 #5 Ranked $11.67 Bet Profit: $8.4 #5 Ranked $11.67 Value Bet Profit: $8.4

Bookies Favourite
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Ildemar Alcantara vs Richardson Moreira Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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62%
   
39%
28 (60)%
 
19 (40)%
63%
 
37%
47%
 
53%
Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
WON
#6 Moderate Pick Rating
LOST
@1.61 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.56
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #6 Ranked $10 Bet Profit: $-10 #6 Ranked $10 Value Bet Profit: $-10

Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Andy Enz vs Thiago Santos Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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37%
   
63%
10 (20)%
 
40 (80)%
23%
 
77%
28%
 
72%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
LOST
#8 Fair Pick Rating
WON
@2.70 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.59
$10 Bet Profit: $5.9 #8 Ranked $6.67 Bet Profit: $3.94 #9 Ranked $5 Value Bet Profit: $2.95


Chart

 

Unit Betting

$ bet per unit:

  % Chance Units
Bet
Potential
Win
Units
Profit
Cash
Bet
Cash
Profit
ROI
Bet on Tim Boetsch vs Thales Leites (@5.00) 55%   17.25   69.00   -17.25   $0.00   $0.00
Bet on Miesha Tate vs Sara McMann (@2.70) 79%   11.25   19.13   19.13   $0.00   $0.00 170%
Bet on Joe Lauzon vs Al Iaquinta (@2.78) 57%   5.75   10.24   -5.75   $0.00   $0.00
Bet on Tyron Woodley vs Kelvin Gastelum (@2.33) 63%   4.5   5.98   5.98   $0.00   $0.00 133%
Bet on Thiago Alves vs Jordan Mein (@2.27) 53%   2   2.54   2.54   $0.00   $0.00 127%
Average Odds: @2.78   40.75 106.89 4.65   $0.00 $0.00 11.41%

Bet Every Fight: Bet Calculator

Total Bet Amount:

 

Weighted Betting

Based on a total bet of $110.00 over 11 fights
  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Tim Boetsch Thales Leites $18.33 $73.32
 
-$18.33
#2 Miesha Tate Sara McMann $16.67 $28.34
 
$28.34
#3 Joe Lauzon Al Iaquinta $15.00 $26.70
 
-$15.00
#4 Tyron Woodley Kelvin Gastelum $13.33 $17.73
 
$17.73
#5 Rafael Natal Tom Watson $11.67 $8.40
 
$8.40
#6 Richardson Moreira Ildemar Alcantara $10.00 $15.60
 
-$10.00
#7 Thiago Alves Jordan Mein $8.33 $10.58
 
$10.58
#8 Thiago Santos Andy Enz $6.67 $3.94
 
$3.94
#9 Derek Brunson Ed Herman $5.00 $0.90
 
$0.90
#10 Anderson Silva Nick Diaz $3.33 $0.67
 
$0.67
#11 Ian McCall John Lineker $1.67 $0.72
 
-$1.67
      $110.00 $186.89 (170%)   $25.55 (23%)

Value Betting

  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Tim Boetsch Thales Leites $18.33 $73.32
 
-$18.33
#2 Miesha Tate Sara McMann $16.67 $28.34
 
$28.34
#3 Joe Lauzon Al Iaquinta $15.00 $26.70
 
-$15.00
#4 Tyron Woodley Kelvin Gastelum $13.33 $17.73
 
$17.73
#5 Rafael Natal Tom Watson $11.67 $8.40
 
$8.40
#6 Richardson Moreira Ildemar Alcantara $10.00 $15.60
 
-$10.00
#7 John Lineker Ian McCall $8.33 $17.74
 
$17.74
#8 Thiago Alves Jordan Mein $6.67 $8.47
 
$8.47
#9 Thiago Santos Andy Enz $5.00 $2.95
 
$2.95
#10 Ed Herman Derek Brunson $3.33 $16.25
 
-$3.33
#11 Nick Diaz Anderson Silva $1.67 $7.11
 
-$1.67
      $110.00 $222.62 (202%)   $35.30 (32%)
 
 
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