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Event Predictions

UFC 198 - Werdum vs. Miocic

Curitiba, Brazil
2016-05-14 22:30:00

Favourite wins: 6
Underdog wins: 5
$10 on all favourites nets: $-27.30
$10 on all underdogs nets: $53.50

Unit Betting
Units Bet: 3.5. Profit: 4.90
Total Unit Profit: 4.90

$10 Average Betting System
$10 on all our picks (raw): $-2.80 (7 right, 4 wrong)
$10 on all our picks (weighted): $21.20 (8 right, 3 wrong)
Weighted betting profit: $35.31 (8 right, 3 wrong)
Value betting profit: $8.87 (5 right, 6 wrong)

Average Bet Rating: Low
Average Value Bet Rating: Good

Key  
Bookies Odds Bookmaker Odds
Raw Picks Raw Picks
Raw Picks Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Weighted Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Your Prediction
Raw Picks Your Confidence
Raw Picks Bookmaker Favourite
Raw Picks Crowd Weighted Pick
Raw Picks Your Pick
Raw Picks Value Pick

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Fabricio Werdum vs Stipe Miocic Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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60%
   
40%
28 (61)%
 
18 (39)%
62%
 
38%
61%
 
39%
LOST
Pick Rating Low #4
WON
@1.67 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @2.50
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #4 Ranked $13.85 Bet Profit: $-13.85 #11 Ranked $3.08 Value Bet Profit: $-3.08

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Ronaldo Souza vs Vitor Belfort Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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73%
   
26%
37 (74)%
 
13 (26)%
78%
 
22%
64%
 
36%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Poor #11 Good Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.37 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @3.85
$10 Bet Profit: $3.7 #11 Ranked $3.08 Bet Profit: $1.14 #5 Ranked $12.31 Value Bet Profit: $-12.31

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Cristiane Justino vs Leslie Smith Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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91%
   
7%
45 (96)%
 
2 (4)%
97%
 
3%
85%
 
15%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Poor #8 Fantastic Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.10 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @14.05
$10 Bet Profit: $1 #8 Ranked $7.69 Bet Profit: $0.77 #1 Ranked $18.46 Value Bet Profit: $-18.46

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Mauricio Rua vs Corey Anderson Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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42%
   
59%
9 (30)%
 
21 (70)%
33%
 
67%
57%
 
43%
Bookies Favourite
WON
Pick Rating Good #3
LOST
@2.40 Suggested Bet: 3.5 units on Mauricio Rua: Returned 4.90 Units   @1.69
$10 Bet Profit: $14 #3 Ranked $15.38 Bet Profit: $21.53 #6 Ranked $10.77 Value Bet Profit: $15.08

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Warlley Alves vs Bryan Barberena Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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83%
   
17%
25 (96)%
 
1 (4)%
96%
 
4%
83%
 
17%
Value Pick
LOST
Pick Rating Low #5 Low Anti-Pick
WON
@1.21 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @5.80
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #5 Ranked $12.31 Bet Profit: $-12.31 #12 Ranked $1.54 Value Bet Profit: $7.39

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Demian Maia vs Matt Brown Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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75%
   
25%
37 (76)%
 
12 (24)%
74%
 
26%
71%
 
29%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Poor #7 Fair Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.34 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @3.95
$10 Bet Profit: $3.4 #7 Ranked $9.23 Bet Profit: $3.14 #9 Ranked $6.15 Value Bet Profit: $-6.15

Value Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Nate Marquardt vs Thiago Santos Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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25%
   
76%
7 (23)%
 
24 (77)%
26%
 
74%
42%
 
58%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
LOST
Anti-Pick Very Good #12 Very Poor Pick Rating
WON
@4.00 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @1.31
$10 Bet Profit: $3.1 #12 Ranked $1.54 Bet Profit: $0.48 #3 Ranked $15.38 Value Bet Profit: $-15.38

Value Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Yancy Medeiros vs Francisco Trinaldo Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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33%
   
68%
3 (21)%
 
11 (79)%
21%
 
79%
40%
 
60%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
LOST
Anti-Pick Moderate #10 Poor Pick Rating
WON
@3.05 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.46
$10 Bet Profit: $4.6 #10 Ranked $4.62 Bet Profit: $2.13 #7 Ranked $9.23 Value Bet Profit: $-9.23

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile John Lineker vs Rob Font Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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59%
   
42%
16 (89)%
 
2 (11)%
93%
 
7%
83%
 
17%
WON
Pick Rating Good #2
LOST
@1.69 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.40
$10 Bet Profit: $6.9 #2 Ranked $16.92 Bet Profit: $11.67 #4 Ranked $13.85 Value Bet Profit: $9.56

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Patrick Cummins vs Rogerio Nogueira Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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70%
   
31%
14 (70)%
 
6 (30)%
68%
 
32%
63%
 
37%
Value Pick
LOST
Pick Rating Poor #9 Fair Anti-Pick
WON
@1.43 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @3.20
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #9 Ranked $6.15 Bet Profit: $-6.15 #8 Ranked $7.69 Value Bet Profit: $16.92

Value Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Luan Chagas vs Sergio Moraes Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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20%
   
80%
2 (20)%
 
8 (80)%
24%
 
76%
21%
 
79%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
DRAW
Anti-Pick Low #6 Poor Pick Rating
DRAW
@5.00 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.25
$10 Bet Profit: $0 #6 Ranked $10.77 Bet Profit: $0 #10 Ranked $4.62 Value Bet Profit: $0

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Renato Moicano vs Zubaira Tukhugov Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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41%
   
61%
4 (100)%
 
0 (0)%
100%
 
0%
80%
 
20%
Bookies Favourite
WON
Pick Rating Extremely Good #1
LOST
@2.45 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.65
$10 Bet Profit: $14.5 #1 Ranked $18.46 Bet Profit: $26.77 #2 Ranked $16.92 Value Bet Profit: $24.53


Chart

 

Unit Betting

$ bet per unit:

  % Chance Units
Bet
Potential
Win
Units
Profit
Cash
Bet
Cash
Profit
ROI
Bet on Mauricio Rua vs Corey Anderson (@2.40) 57%   3.5   4.90   4.90   $0.00   $0.00 140%
Average Odds: @2.40   3.5 4.90 4.90   $0.00 $0.00 140.00%

Bet Every Fight: Bet Calculator

Total Bet Amount:

 

Weighted Betting

Based on a total bet of $120.00 over 12 fights
  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Renato Moicano Zubaira Tukhugov $18.46 $26.77
 
$26.77
#2 John Lineker Rob Font $16.92 $11.67
 
$11.67
#3 Mauricio Rua Corey Anderson $15.38 $21.53
 
$21.53
#4 Fabricio Werdum Stipe Miocic $13.85 $9.28
 
-$13.85
#5 Warlley Alves Bryan Barberena $12.31 $2.59
 
-$12.31
#6 Sergio Moraes Luan Chagas $10.77 $2.69
 
NA
#7 Demian Maia Matt Brown $9.23 $3.14
 
$3.14
#8 Cristiane Justino Leslie Smith $7.69 $0.77
 
$0.77
#9 Patrick Cummins Rogerio Nogueira $6.15 $2.64
 
-$6.15
#10 Francisco Trinaldo Yancy Medeiros $4.62 $2.13
 
$2.13
#11 Ronaldo Souza Vitor Belfort $3.08 $1.14
 
$1.14
#12 Thiago Santos Nate Marquardt $1.54 $0.48
 
$0.48
      $120.00 $84.82 (71%)   $35.31 (29%)

Value Betting

  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Leslie Smith Cristiane Justino $18.46 $240.90
 
-$18.46
#2 Renato Moicano Zubaira Tukhugov $16.92 $24.53
 
$24.53
#3 Nate Marquardt Thiago Santos $15.38 $46.14
 
-$15.38
#4 John Lineker Rob Font $13.85 $9.56
 
$9.56
#5 Vitor Belfort Ronaldo Souza $12.31 $35.08
 
-$12.31
#6 Mauricio Rua Corey Anderson $10.77 $15.08
 
$15.08
#7 Yancy Medeiros Francisco Trinaldo $9.23 $18.92
 
-$9.23
#8 Rogerio Nogueira Patrick Cummins $7.69 $16.92
 
$16.92
#9 Matt Brown Demian Maia $6.15 $18.14
 
-$6.15
#10 Luan Chagas Sergio Moraes $4.62 $18.48
 
NA
#11 Fabricio Werdum Stipe Miocic $3.08 $2.06
 
-$3.08
#12 Bryan Barberena Warlley Alves $1.54 $7.39
 
$7.39
      $120.00 $453.21 (378%)   $8.87 (7%)
 
 
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