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Event Predictions

UFC Fight Night - McGregor vs. Siver

Boston, Massachusetts
2015-01-18 20:00:00

Favourite wins: 9
Underdog wins: 2
$10 on all favourites nets: $22.00
$10 on all underdogs nets: $-64.00

Unit Betting
Units Bet: 27.5. Profit: -20.23
Total Unit Profit: -20.23

$10 Average Betting System
$10 on all our picks (raw): $41.30 (10 right, 2 wrong)
$10 on all our picks (weighted): $-29.50 (6 right, 6 wrong)
Weighted betting profit: $-41.11 (6 right, 6 wrong)
Value betting profit: $-72.90 (3 right, 9 wrong)

Average Bet Rating: Fair
Average Value Bet Rating: Moderate

Key  
Bookies Odds Bookmaker Odds
Raw Picks Raw Picks
Raw Picks Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Weighted Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Your Prediction
Raw Picks Your Confidence
Raw Picks Bookmaker Favourite
Raw Picks Crowd Weighted Pick
Raw Picks Your Pick
Raw Picks Value Pick

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Conor McGregor vs Dennis Siver Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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90%
   
10%
163 (93)%
 
12 (7)%
95%
 
5%
89%
 
11%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Poor #10 Fair Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.11 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @10.00
$10 Bet Profit: $1.1 #10 Ranked $4.62 Bet Profit: $0.51 #7 Ranked $9.23 Value Bet Profit: $-9.23

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Donald Cerrone vs Benson Henderson Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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45%
   
56%
61 (62)%
 
38 (38)%
61%
 
39%
57%
 
43%
Bookies Favourite
WON
Pick Rating Moderate #5
LOST
@2.22 Suggested Bet: 2.5 units on Donald Cerrone: Returned 3.05 Units   @1.79
$10 Bet Profit: $12.2 #5 Ranked $12.31 Bet Profit: $15.02 #6 Ranked $10.77 Value Bet Profit: $13.14

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Uriah Hall vs Ron Stallings Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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88%
   
12%
87 (97)%
 
3 (3)%
98%
 
2%
80%
 
20%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Poor #11 Good+ Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.14 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @8.33
$10 Bet Profit: $1.4 #11 Ranked $3.08 Bet Profit: $0.43 #2 Ranked $16.92 Value Bet Profit: $-16.92

Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Norman Parke vs Gleison Tibau Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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44%
   
58%
52 (41)%
 
75 (59)%
41%
 
59%
35%
 
65%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
LOST
#7 Fair Pick Rating
WON
@2.27 Suggested Bet: 1 units on Gleison Tibau: Returned 0.72 Units   @1.72
$10 Bet Profit: $7.2 #7 Ranked $9.23 Bet Profit: $6.65 #9 Ranked $6.15 Value Bet Profit: $4.43

Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Cathal Pendred vs Sean Spencer Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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42%
   
60%
51 (62)%
 
31 (38)%
64%
 
36%
41%
 
59%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
WON
#9 Poor Pick Rating
LOST
@2.38 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @1.67
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #9 Ranked $6.15 Bet Profit: $-6.15 #11 Ranked $3.08 Value Bet Profit: $-3.08

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile John Howard vs Lorenz Larkin Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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42%
   
60%
60 (56)%
 
48 (44)%
57%
 
43%
54%
 
46%
Bookies Favourite
LOST
Pick Rating Moderate #4
WON
@2.38 Suggested Bet: 2.75 units on John Howard: Returned -2.75 Units   @1.67
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #4 Ranked $13.85 Bet Profit: $-13.85 #5 Ranked $12.31 Value Bet Profit: $-12.31

Value Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Lipeng Zhang vs Chris Wade Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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18%
   
82%
20 (28)%
 
51 (72)%
27%
 
73%
19%
 
81%
Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
LOST
Anti-Pick Low #8 Poor Pick Rating
WON
@5.56 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.22
$10 Bet Profit: $2.2 #8 Ranked $7.69 Bet Profit: $1.69 #10 Ranked $4.62 Value Bet Profit: $-4.62

Bookies Favourite
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Patrick Holohan vs Shane Howell Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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72%
   
28%
62 (75)%
 
21 (25)%
75%
 
25%
26%
 
74%
Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
WON
#1 Fantastic Pick Rating
LOST
@1.39 Suggested Bet: 16.25 units on Shane Howell: Returned -16.25 Units   @3.57
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #1 Ranked $18.46 Bet Profit: $-18.46 #1 Ranked $18.46 Value Bet Profit: $-18.46

Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Johnny Case vs Frankie Perez Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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0%
   
0%
0 (0)%
 
1 (100)%
0%
 
100%
0%
 
100%
Crowd Weighted Pick
WON
#12 Very Poor Pick Rating
LOST
@0.00 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @0.00
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #12 Ranked $1.54 Bet Profit: $-1.54 #12 Ranked $1.54 Value Bet Profit: $-1.54

Bookies Favourite
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Charles Rosa vs Sean Soriano Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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57%
   
45%
36 (56)%
 
28 (44)%
59%
 
41%
38%
 
62%
Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
WON
#3 Good Pick Rating
LOST
@1.75 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.22
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #3 Ranked $15.38 Bet Profit: $-15.38 #4 Ranked $13.85 Value Bet Profit: $-13.85

Bookies Favourite
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Sean O'Connell vs Matt Van Buren Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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64%
   
36%
42 (58)%
 
31 (42)%
61%
 
39%
46%
 
54%
Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
WON
#2 Good+ Pick Rating
LOST
@1.56 Suggested Bet: 5 units on Matt Van Buren: Returned -5.00 Units   @2.78
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #2 Ranked $16.92 Bet Profit: $-16.92 #3 Ranked $15.38 Value Bet Profit: $-15.38

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Joby Sanchez vs Tateki Matsuda Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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61%
   
39%
39 (56)%
 
31 (44)%
56%
 
44%
68%
 
32%
WON
Pick Rating Fair #6
LOST
@1.64 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.56
$10 Bet Profit: $6.4 #6 Ranked $10.77 Bet Profit: $6.89 #8 Ranked $7.69 Value Bet Profit: $4.92


Chart

 

Unit Betting

$ bet per unit:

  % Chance Units
Bet
Potential
Win
Units
Profit
Cash
Bet
Cash
Profit
ROI
Bet on Shane Howell vs Patrick Holohan (@3.57) 74%   16.25   41.76   -16.25   $0.00   $0.00
Bet on Matt Van Buren vs Sean O'Connell (@2.78) 54%   5   8.90   -5.00   $0.00   $0.00
Bet on John Howard vs Lorenz Larkin (@2.38) 54%   2.75   3.80   -2.75   $0.00   $0.00
Bet on Donald Cerrone vs Benson Henderson (@2.22) 57%   2.5   3.05   3.05   $0.00   $0.00 122%
Bet on Gleison Tibau vs Norman Parke (@1.72) 65%   1   0.72   0.72   $0.00   $0.00 72%
Average Odds: @2.39   27.5 58.23 -20.23   $0.00 $0.00 -73.56%

Bet Every Fight: Bet Calculator

Total Bet Amount:

 

Weighted Betting

Based on a total bet of $120.00 over 12 fights
  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Shane Howell Patrick Holohan $18.46 $47.44
 
-$18.46
#2 Matt Van Buren Sean O'Connell $16.92 $30.12
 
-$16.92
#3 Sean Soriano Charles Rosa $15.38 $18.76
 
-$15.38
#4 John Howard Lorenz Larkin $13.85 $19.11
 
-$13.85
#5 Donald Cerrone Benson Henderson $12.31 $15.02
 
$15.02
#6 Joby Sanchez Tateki Matsuda $10.77 $6.89
 
$6.89
#7 Gleison Tibau Norman Parke $9.23 $6.65
 
$6.65
#8 Chris Wade Lipeng Zhang $7.69 $1.69
 
$1.69
#9 Sean Spencer Cathal Pendred $6.15 $4.12
 
-$6.15
#10 Conor McGregor Dennis Siver $4.62 $0.51
 
$0.51
#11 Uriah Hall Ron Stallings $3.08 $0.43
 
$0.43
#12 Frankie Perez Johnny Case $1.54 $-1.54
 
-$1.54
      $120.00 $149.20 (124%)   $-41.11 (-34%)

Value Betting

  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)
Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Shane Howell Patrick Holohan $18.46 $47.44
 
-$18.46
#2 Ron Stallings Uriah Hall $16.92 $124.02
 
-$16.92
#3 Matt Van Buren Sean O'Connell $15.38 $27.38
 
-$15.38
#4 Sean Soriano Charles Rosa $13.85 $16.90
 
-$13.85
#5 John Howard Lorenz Larkin $12.31 $16.99
 
-$12.31
#6 Donald Cerrone Benson Henderson $10.77 $13.14
 
$13.14
#7 Dennis Siver Conor McGregor $9.23 $83.07
 
-$9.23
#8 Joby Sanchez Tateki Matsuda $7.69 $4.92
 
$4.92
#9 Gleison Tibau Norman Parke $6.15 $4.43
 
$4.43
#10 Lipeng Zhang Chris Wade $4.62 $21.07
 
-$4.62
#11 Sean Spencer Cathal Pendred $3.08 $2.06
 
-$3.08
#12 Johnny Case Frankie Perez $1.54 $-1.54
 
-$1.54
      $120.00 $359.88 (300%)   $-72.90 (-61%)
 
 
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