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MMA Handicapper Stats: Dirty Degen

Dirty Degen (dirtydegen)
Mixed Martial Arts Management - Dirty Degen

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays
Right 38 (50%) Right 27 (60%) Right 6 (38%) Right 5 (33%)
Wrong 38 (50%) Wrong 18 (40%) Wrong 10 (63%) Wrong 10 (67%)
Avg Odds 2.31 Avg Odds 1.87 Avg Odds 4.04 Avg Odds 3.09
Units Bet 117.1 Units Bet 93.3 Units Bet 8.6 Units Bet 15.2
Avg Bet 1.54 Avg Bet 2.07 Avg Bet 0.54 Avg Bet 1.01
Units Profit 3.45 Units Profit 2.70 Units Profit 3.20 Units Profit -2.45
ROI % 3% ROI % 3% ROI % 37% ROI % -16%
View Handicapper's Profile

Dirty Degen: Event by Event Predictions
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
19th May '24 Road to UFC: Episode 4 1.36 1.0 74% 1.0 / 1.36 (74%)
19th May '24 Road to UFC: Episode 3 3.7 -0.5 -14% -0.5 / 3.7 (-14%)
18th May '24 UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy 15.34 2.2 15% 0.6 / 10 (6%) 1.7 / 5.3 (32%) -0.0 / 0.04 (-100%)
18th May '24 UAE Warriors 50 4.43 -4.4 -100% -1.4 / 1.43 (-100%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
18th May '24 Road to UFC: Episode 2 2 1.0 48% 1.0 / 2 (48%)
18th May '24 Road to UFC: Episode 1 4.5 1.9 42% 1.9 / 4.5 (42%)
17th May '24 LFA 184 3.6 1.4 38% 0.5 / 2.35 (21%) 0.9 / 1.25 (70%)
17th May '24 Bellator Champions Series 6.75 4.9 72% 3.0 / 4.25 (70%) 1.9 / 2.5 (76%)
17th May '24 ACA 175 0.75 -0.8 -100% -0.8 / 0.75 (-100%)
12th May '24 Fury FC 90 3.7 2.3 62% 2.3 / 3.7 (62%)
11th May '24 UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento 17.55 -6.5 -37% -4.8 / 12.7 (-37%) 1.4 / 1.65 (87%) -3.2 / 3.2 (-100%)
11th May '24 KSW 94 5.73 -1.2 -21% -1.2 / 5.73 (-21%)
11th May '24 Brave CF 82 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
10th May '24 PFL MENA 1: Riyadh 2.6 1.4 55% 1.0 / 1.6 (63%) 0.4 / 1 (44%)
4th May '24 UFC 301 23.15 5.0 21% 4.9 / 20.5 (24%) 0.2 / 2.5 (10%) -0.2 / 0.15 (-100%)
4th May '24 Oktagon 57 2.7 1.8 68% 1.8 / 2.7 (68%)
3rd May '24 One Fight Night 22 1.45 1.0 69% 1.0 / 1.45 (69%)
3rd May '24 LFA 183 1.85 0.9 51% 1.0 / 1.8 (56%) -0.1 / 0.05 (-100%)
29th Apr '24 Rizin 46 2.7 1.5 54% 1.5 / 2.7 (54%)
27th Apr '24 UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs Perez 14.25 -9.3 -65% -9.1 / 12.1 (-75%) -0.2 / 2.15 (-7%)
26th Apr '24 LFA 182 1 0.8 81% 0.8 / 1 (81%)


Winning Events: 14 (67%)
Losing Events: 7 (33%)

Average Staked Per Event: 5.72 units
Most Staked On One Event: 23.15 units
Best Event: 4.98 units
Worst Event: -9.25 units
Average Event: 0.16 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 6, Units: 11.66
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -9.25

Dirty Degen: Year on Year Profit
Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Events
Won / Lost (%)		 Profit
Per Event
2024 120.11 3.4 3% 2.7 / 93.32 (3%) -2.5 / 15.19 (-16%) 14 / 7 (67%) 0.16

Dirty Degen: Yearly Straight Pick Stats
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Dirty Degen: Profit / Loss by Organization
Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 70.29 -8.6 -12% -8.4 / 55.3 (-15%) 3.2 / 11.6 (28%) -3.4 / 3.39 (-100%)
Bellator 6.75 4.9 72% 3.0 / 4.25 (70%) 1.9 / 2.5 (76%)
PFL 2.6 1.4 55% 1.0 / 1.6 (63%) 0.4 / 1 (44%)
Other 40.47 5.7 14% 7.1 / 32.17 (22%) -1.4 / 8.3 (-17%)

Dirty Degen: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 12 (20%) 10 83 % 30.90 5.62 0.47 18%
Slight Favorites 30 (49%) 22 73 % 45.94 8.88 0.30 19%
Slight Underdogs 12 (20%) 3 25 % 13.50 -8.83 -0.74 -65%
Big Underdogs 7 (11%) 0 0 % 2.98 -2.98 -0.43 -100%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 11 (18%) 10 91 % 19.85 10.93 0.99 55%
Co-Main Event 12 (20%) 6 50 % 19.95 -4.70 -0.39 -24%
Position 3-5 16 (26%) 8 50 % 23.61 -1.95 -0.12 -8%
6+ (Undercard) 22 (36%) 11 50 % 29.91 -1.58 -0.07 -5%

Dirty Degen: Profit by Weight Class
  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 2 (3%) 1 50 % 4.10 0.40 0.20 10%
Light Heavy 7 (11%) 2 29 % 10.93 -5.78 -0.83 -53%
Middleweight 8 (13%) 8 100 % 10.75 6.82 0.85 63%
Welterweight 5 (8%) 4 80 % 5.60 3.49 0.70 62%
Lightweight 8 (13%) 5 63 % 13.45 1.88 0.23 14%
Featherweight 11 (18%) 6 55 % 13.70 2.22 0.20 16%
Bantamweight 3 (5%) 1 33 % 5.95 -2.75 -0.92 -46%
Flyweight 6 (10%) 4 67 % 12.50 2.51 0.42 20%
               
Women's Fights 11 (18%) 4 36 % 16.34 -6.09 -0.55 -37%
Featherweight 2 (3%) 2 100 % 1.75 1.64 0.82 94%
Flyweight 4 (7%) 1 25 % 7.09 -4.73 -1.18 -67%
Strawweight 5 (8%) 1 20 % 7.50 -3.00 -0.60 -40%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 20 (57%) 18 90 %
Slight Favorites 7 (20%) 4 57 %
Slight Underdogs 5 (14%) 2 40 %
Big Underdogs 3 (9%) 1 33 %
35 25 71 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 2 (9%) 0 0 %
50-65% 4 (17%) 3 75 %
35-50% 2 (9%) 2 100 %
<35% chance 15 (65%) 1 7 %
23 6 26 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types
Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds		 Longest
Odds		 Shortest
Odds		 1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 1 (4%) 1 100 % 1.74 1.74Pick was correct 1.74Pick was correct 0.7 (74%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 1 (4%) 1 100 % 1.68 1.68Pick was correct 1.68Pick was correct 0.7 (68%)
X Wins by KO 2 (9%) 1 50 % 3.27 6.00Pick was incorrect 2.25Pick was correct 0.3 (13%)
X Wins by Sub 4 (17%) 0 0 % 5.37 10.00Pick was incorrect 3.75Pick was incorrect -4.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision 4 (17%) 1 25 % 4.16 13.00Pick was incorrect 1.50Pick was incorrect 6.0 (150%)
X Wins Inside Distance 1 (4%) 1 100 % 2.00 2.00Pick was correct 2.00Pick was correct 1.0 (100%)
X Wins in Round X 4 (17%) 0 0 % 8.43 17.00Pick was incorrect 5.00Pick was incorrect -4.0 (-100%)
Others 6 (26%) 1 17 % 2.83 26.00Pick was incorrect 1.53Pick was incorrect -2.4 (-40%)
23 6 26 % 3.49     -1.7 (-8%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Dirty Degen's bets
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
26th Apr LFA 182 1 0.8 81% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,008.06
27th Apr UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs Perez 14.25 -9.3 -65% $10.08 $1,008.06 $914.81
29th Apr Rizin 46 2.7 1.5 54% $9.15 $914.81 $928.17
3rd May LFA 183 1.85 0.9 51% $9.28 $928.17 $936.98
3rd May One Fight Night 22 1.45 1.0 69% $9.37 $936.98 $946.35
4th May Oktagon 57 2.7 1.8 68% $9.46 $946.35 $963.72
4th May UFC 301 23.15 5.0 21% $9.64 $963.72 $1,011.68
10th May PFL MENA 1: Riyadh 2.6 1.4 55% $10.12 $1,011.68 $1,026.25
11th May Brave CF 82 1 -1.0 -100% $10.26 $1,026.25 $1,015.99
11th May KSW 94 5.73 -1.2 -21% $10.16 $1,015.99 $1,003.49
11th May UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento 17.55 -6.5 -37% $10.03 $1,003.49 $938.12
12th May Fury FC 90 3.7 2.3 62% $9.38 $938.12 $959.74
17th May ACA 175 0.75 -0.8 -100% $9.60 $959.74 $952.54
17th May Bellator Champions Series 6.75 4.9 72% $9.53 $952.54 $998.94
17th May LFA 184 3.6 1.4 38% $9.99 $998.94 $1,012.73
18th May Road to UFC: Episode 1 4.5 1.9 42% $10.13 $1,012.73 $1,032.07
18th May Road to UFC: Episode 2 2 1.0 48% $10.32 $1,032.07 $1,041.92
18th May UAE Warriors 50 4.43 -4.4 -100% $10.42 $1,041.92 $995.76
18th May UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy 15.34 2.2 15% $9.96 $995.76 $1,018.00
19th May Road to UFC: Episode 3 3.7 -0.5 -14% $10.18 $1,018.00 $1,012.91
19th May Road to UFC: Episode 4 1.36 1.0 74% $10.13 $1,012.91 $1,023.04


ROI % from starting bank balance: 2.30% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Dirty Degen: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)
Last 20 Wins
  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. May '24 Daermisi Zhawupasi Ren Ozaki 1.45 2.2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. May '24 Qihua Yan Lisa Kyriacou 1.74 1.36 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. May '24 Kangjie Zhu Tatsuya Ando 1.91 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. May '24 Xiaocan Feng Kiran Singh 1.29 3.5 TKO, R1 (2:3) MMA Bookmaker
5. May '24 Mike Shipman Steven Hill 2.10 0.75 TKO, R1 (5:0) MMA Bookmaker
6. May '24 Oumar Sy George Tokkos 1.35 3 Sub, R1 (3:43) MMA Bookmaker
7. May '24 Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani Victor Kuiks 1.54 1.85 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
8. May '24 Costello van Steenis Gregory Babene 1.50 1.5 Sub, R2 (2:16) MMA Bookmaker
9. May '24 Aspen Ladd Ekaterina Shakalova 1.95 0.75 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. May '24 Aspen Ladd Ekaterina Shakalova 1.93 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. May '24 Luis Hernandez Nick Lancaster 1.87 1.5 Sub, R1 (2:56) MMA Bookmaker
12. May '24 Isaiah Diggs Kyle Todrank 1.45 2.2 U Decision (3 rounds) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
13. May '24 Joaquin Buckley Nursulton Ruziboev 1.78 0.75 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. May '24 Arkadiusz Wrzosek Artur Szpilka 1.29 3.5 TKO, R1 (0:14) MMA Bookmaker
15. May '24 Islam Reda Adam Meskini 1.63 1.6 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
16. May '24 Abusupiyan Magomedov Warlley Alves 1.50 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
17. May '24 Joaquin Buckley Nursulton Ruziboev 1.69 1.45 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
18. May '24 Lerone Murphy Edson Barboza 1.78 2 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
19. May '24 Joaquin Buckley Nursulton Ruziboev 1.67 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
20. May '24 Joaquin Buckley Nursulton Ruziboev 1.67 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. May '24 Emiliano Sordi Diyar Nurgozhay 3.20 0.43 TKO, R1 (4:17) Yes MMA Bookmaker
2. May '24 Bevon Lewis Ozzy Diaz 2.60 0.5 TKO, R2 (3:26) No MMA Bookmaker
3. May '24 Igor Zhirkov Renat Ondar 2.45 0.75 TKO, R2 (3:18) No MMA Bookmaker
4. May '24 Jiniushiyue Dong Hoon Choi 2.20 1.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. May '24 Yamato Fujita Iago Ribeiro 2.20 1 TKO, R3 (2:22) No MMA Bookmaker
6. May '24 Luana Pinheiro Angela Hill 2.55 1 Sub, R2 (4:12) No MMA Bookmaker
7. May '24 Jaleel Willis Cedric Doumbe 5.00 0.25 TKO, R1 (3:33) No MMA Bookmaker
8. May '24 Patryk Kaczmarczyk Robert Ruchala 2.45 0.5 TKO, R1 (0:59) No MMA Bookmaker
9. May '24 Adrianna Kreft Mafalda Carmona 1.58 1.73 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
10. May '24 Viacheslav Borshchev Chase Hooper 1.76 1 Sub, R2 (3:0) No MMA Bookmaker
11. May '24 Luana Pinheiro Angela Hill 2.40 2 Sub, R2 (4:12) No MMA Bookmaker
12. May '24 Viacheslav Borshchev Chase Hooper 1.62 2 Sub, R2 (3:0) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
13. May '24 Viacheslav Borshchev Chase Hooper 1.57 1 Sub, R2 (3:0) No MMA Bookmaker
14. May '24 Karolina Kowalkiewicz Iasmin Lucindo 4.55 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
15. May '24 Agy Sardari Losene Keita 6.00 0.2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
16. May '24 J.J. Aldrich Veronica Macedo 2.31 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Apr '24 Sora Yamamoto Ilkhom Nazimov 3.95 0.5 TKO, R2 (3:39) No MMA Bookmaker
18. May '24 Karolina Kowalkiewicz Iasmin Lucindo 4.30 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
19. May '24 Jonathan Martinez Jose Aldo 1.68 3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Apr '24 Austen Lane Jhonata Diniz 3.70 0.6 TKO, R2 (2:12) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Dirty Degen: Progress Chart
Chart

 
 
 
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