MMA Handicapper Stats: Dawg MMA |
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Dawg MMA: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 12 (63%) Losing Events: 7 (37%)
Average Staked Per Event: 15.64 units Most Staked On One Event: 26.50 units Best Event: 15.81 units Worst Event: -6.50 units Average Event: 2.04 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 25.59 Max Losing Streak: Events: 2, Units: -6.50 |
Dawg MMA: Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2024 |
297.25 |
38.8 |
13% |
7.1 / 108 (7%) |
|
26.1 / 147 (18%) |
12 / 7 (63%) |
2.04 |
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Dawg MMA: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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Dawg MMA: Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
291.25 |
34.2 |
12% |
5.1 / 106 (5%) |
5.0 / 41.25 (12%) |
24.1 / 144 (17%) |
Bellator |
3 |
1.9 |
64% |
|
|
1.9 / 3 (64%) |
PFL |
3 |
2.6 |
88% |
2.0 / 2 (100%) |
0.6 / 1 (63%) |
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Dawg MMA: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
1 (2%) |
0 |
0 % |
2.00 |
-2.00 |
-2.00 |
-100% |
Slight Favorites |
12 (21%) |
6 |
50 % |
28.50 |
-2.04 |
-0.17 |
-7% |
Slight Underdogs |
32 (55%) |
18 |
56 % |
60.50 |
18.06 |
0.56 |
30% |
Big Underdogs |
13 (22%) |
2 |
15 % |
17.00 |
-6.91 |
-0.53 |
-41% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
11 (19%) |
5 |
45 % |
19.00 |
3.51 |
0.32 |
18% |
Co-Main Event |
8 (14%) |
4 |
50 % |
17.00 |
1.29 |
0.16 |
8% |
Position 3-5 |
15 (26%) |
9 |
60 % |
30.00 |
10.34 |
0.69 |
34% |
6+ (Undercard) |
24 (41%) |
8 |
33 % |
42.00 |
-8.03 |
-0.33 |
-19% |
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Dawg MMA: Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
4 (7%) |
2 |
50 % |
7.50 |
-0.12 |
-0.03 |
-2% |
Light Heavy |
3 (5%) |
1 |
33 % |
4.50 |
-0.30 |
-0.10 |
-7% |
Middleweight |
6 (10%) |
2 |
33 % |
11.50 |
-3.04 |
-0.51 |
-26% |
Welterweight |
6 (10%) |
3 |
50 % |
10.50 |
1.25 |
0.21 |
12% |
Lightweight |
7 (12%) |
4 |
57 % |
13.50 |
4.75 |
0.68 |
35% |
Featherweight |
10 (17%) |
8 |
80 % |
22.00 |
16.68 |
1.67 |
76% |
Bantamweight |
7 (12%) |
2 |
29 % |
14.00 |
-6.58 |
-0.94 |
-47% |
Flyweight |
4 (7%) |
1 |
25 % |
6.50 |
-1.80 |
-0.45 |
-28% |
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Women's Fights |
11 (19%) |
3 |
27 % |
18.00 |
-3.72 |
-0.34 |
-21% |
Bantamweight |
4 (7%) |
1 |
25 % |
6.50 |
-1.70 |
-0.43 |
-26% |
Flyweight |
4 (7%) |
2 |
50 % |
6.50 |
2.98 |
0.74 |
46% |
Strawweight |
3 (5%) |
|
0 % |
5.00 |
-5.00 |
-1.67 |
-100% |
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Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
72 (71%) |
56 |
78 % |
Slight Favorites |
26 (25%) |
17 |
65 % |
Slight Underdogs |
3 (3%) |
1 |
33 % |
Big Underdogs |
1 (1%) |
0 |
0 % |
|
102 |
74 |
73 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
37 (28%) |
25 |
68 % |
50-65% |
8 (6%) |
6 |
75 % |
35-50% |
11 (8%) |
3 |
27 % |
<35% chance |
76 (58%) |
11 |
14 % |
|
132 |
45 |
34 % |
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Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Dawg MMA's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
ROI % from starting bank balance: -22.69% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Dawg MMA: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
|
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1. |
May '24 |
Charles Johnson |
Jake Hadley |
2.35 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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2. |
Apr '24 |
David Onama |
Jonathan Pearce |
2.44 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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3. |
Apr '24 |
Karine Silva |
Ariane Lipski |
2.12 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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4. |
Apr '24 |
Jiri Prochazka |
Aleksandar Rakic |
2.10 |
2 |
TKO, R2 (3:17) |
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5. |
Apr '24 |
Victor Hugo Silva |
Pedro Falcao |
1.80 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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6. |
Apr '24 |
Max Holloway |
Justin Gaethje |
2.87 |
2 |
TKO, R5 (4:59) |
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7. |
Apr '24 |
Jose Mariscal |
Morgan Charriere |
2.50 |
2 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
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8. |
Apr '24 |
César Almeida |
Dylan Budka |
2.13 |
2 |
TKO, R2 (2:13) |
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9. |
Mar '24 |
Manon Fiorot |
Erin Blanchfield |
2.62 |
2 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
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10. |
Mar '24 |
Nate Landwehr |
Jamall Emmers |
2.70 |
2 |
TKO, R1 (4:43) |
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11. |
Mar '24 |
Joaquin Buckley |
Vicente Luque |
2.20 |
2 |
TKO, R2 (3:17) |
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12. |
Mar '24 |
Payton Talbott |
Cameron Saaiman |
1.91 |
2 |
TKO, R2 (0:21) |
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13. |
Mar '24 |
Danny Silva |
Joshua Culibao |
2.61 |
2 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
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14. |
Mar '24 |
Christian Rodriguez |
Isaac Dulgarian |
2.15 |
2 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
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15. |
Mar '24 |
Dustin Poirier |
Benoit Saint-Denis |
2.90 |
1.5 |
TKO, R2 (2:32) |
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16. |
Mar '24 |
Michael Page |
Kevin Holland |
2.10 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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17. |
Mar '24 |
Jairzinho Rozenstruik |
Shamil Gaziev |
2.25 |
1.5 |
TKO, R4 (5:0) |
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18. |
Feb '24 |
Renan Ferreira |
Ryan Bader |
2.00 |
2 |
TKO, R1 (0:21) |
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19. |
Feb '24 |
Manuel Torres |
Chris Duncan (2) |
1.72 |
3 |
Sub, R1 (1:46) |
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20. |
Feb '24 |
Ilia Topuria |
Alex Volkanovski |
1.90 |
3 |
TKO, R2 (3:32) |
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Last 20 Losses
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Dawg MMA: Progress Chart |
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