MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 6425
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 2371

MMA Handicapper Stats: PGA Locks

PGA Locks (pgalocks)

MMA MHandicapper - PGA Locks

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	136 (44%)	Right	57 (56%)	Right	48 (40%)	Right	31 (34%)
Wrong	175 (56%)	Wrong	45 (44%)	Wrong	71 (60%)	Wrong	59 (66%)
Avg Odds	2.10	Avg Odds	1.72	Avg Odds	2.22	Avg Odds	2.55
Units Bet	331.7	Units Bet	241.9	Units Bet	55.6	Units Bet	34.3
Avg Bet	1.07	Avg Bet	2.37	Avg Bet	0.47	Avg Bet	0.38
Units Profit	-9.82	Units Profit	-1.05	Units Profit	-11.21	Units Profit	2.45
ROI %	-3%	ROI %	-0%	ROI %	-20%	ROI %	7%

PGA Locks: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
18th May '24	UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy	20.65	6.5	31%	4.5 / 12.5 (36%)	0.9 / 4.95 (19%)	1.1 / 3.2 (34%)
17th May '24	Bellator Champions Series	18.25	5.7	31%	3.6 / 13 (28%)	0.8 / 4 (20%)	1.3 / 1.25 (106%)
11th May '24	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento	37.55	-22.3	-59%	-14.6 / 26.75 (-55%)	-2.3 / 4.95 (-47%)	-5.4 / 5.85 (-92%)
4th May '24	UFC 301	16	2.7	17%	0.3 / 9 (3%)	1.2 / 6.1 (20%)	1.2 / 0.9 (134%)
27th Apr '24	UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs Perez	5.5	-2.3	-42%	-1.7 / 3 (-56%)	-0.4 / 2.25 (-18%)	-0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)
13th Apr '24	UFC 300	16.9	-0.5	-3%	-0.1 / 12.25 (-1%)	-0.4 / 4.65 (-8%)
6th Apr '24	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II	3.5	0.0	0%	-0.7 / 3 (-25%)	0.8 / 0.5 (150%)
30th Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot	15.7	1.5	10%	2.6 / 13 (20%)	-0.5 / 2.15 (-22%)	-0.6 / 0.55 (-100%)
16th Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura	3.75	-2.6	-70%	-2.4 / 3.5 (-68%)		-0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)
9th Mar '24	UFC 299	12.6	4.6	36%	4.6 / 12 (38%)		-0.0 / 0.6 (-6%)
2nd Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev	7.9	-5.5	-69%	-4.2 / 6 (-71%)	-1.1 / 1.75 (-63%)	-0.2 / 0.15 (-100%)
24th Feb '24	UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval	11.55	-0.8	-7%	-2.3 / 7 (-32%)	0.7 / 2.9 (24%)	0.7 / 1.65 (45%)
24th Feb '24	PFL vs. Bellator: Champs	4.55	4.0	88%	3.1 / 4 (79%)	0.6 / 0.4 (161%)	0.2 / 0.15 (155%)
17th Feb '24	UFC 298	15.15	-1.0	-7%	0.6 / 9.6 (7%)	-1.7 / 5.55 (-30%)
10th Feb '24	UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer	11.2	-7.0	-62%	-5.0 / 9.25 (-54%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	-1.0 / 0.95 (-100%)
3rd Feb '24	UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov	13.95	-4.4	-32%	-2.5 / 12 (-21%)	-1.7 / 1.65 (-100%)	-0.3 / 0.3 (-100%)
20th Jan '24	UFC 297	13.09	-10.6	-81%	-5.8 / 8.29 (-71%)	-0.9 / 0.85 (-100%)	-4.0 / 3.95 (-100%)
13th Jan '24	UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker	7.25	0.7	10%	2.7 / 3.75 (71%)	-1.8 / 2.7 (-66%)	-0.2 / 0.8 (-20%)
16th Dec '23	UFC 296	12.15	7.5	62%	5.7 / 6.75 (85%)	1.4 / 3.25 (42%)	0.4 / 2.15 (21%)
9th Dec '23	UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez	4.75	3.1	65%	1.9 / 3.5 (54%)		1.2 / 1.25 (95%)
2nd Dec '23	UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan	3	-3.0	-100%	-2.8 / 2.75 (-100%)		-0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)
11th Nov '23	UFC 295	13.8	0.4	3%	1.2 / 13 (9%)	-0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)	-0.6 / 0.55 (-100%)
4th Nov '23	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida	3.5	1.8	51%	1.8 / 3.5 (51%)
21st Oct '23	UFC 294	9	-0.8	-9%	3.2 / 5 (65%)	-3.8 / 3.75 (-100%)	-0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)
14th Oct '23	UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza	8.5	-6.2	-73%	-5.2 / 7.5 (-69%)		-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
10th Oct '23	Contender Series 2023: Week 10	4	-0.9	-21%	1.1 / 2 (57%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
7th Oct '23	UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green	5	6.3	127%			6.3 / 5 (127%)
23rd Sep '23	UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot	21	5.3	25%	5.3 / 21 (25%)
16th Sep '23	UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II	12	8.1	67%	4.2 / 9 (46%)		3.9 / 3 (130%)

Winning Events: 15 (52%)
Losing Events: 14 (48%)

Average Staked Per Event: 11.44 units
Most Staked On One Event: 37.55 units
Best Event: 8.06 units
Worst Event: -22.30 units
Average Event: -0.34 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 19.66
Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -23.13

PGA Locks: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2024	235.04	-31.4	-13%	-17.5 / 167.89 (-10%)		-7.4 / 20.8 (-36%)	8 / 10 (44%)	-1.75
2023	96.7	21.6	22%	16.4 / 74 (22%)		9.8 / 13.45 (73%)	7 / 4 (64%)	1.97

PGA Locks: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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PGA Locks: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	304.94	-18.7	-6%	-8.9 / 222.89 (-4%)	-10.6 / 49.2 (-22%)	0.9 / 32.85 (3%)
Bellator	18.25	5.7	31%	3.6 / 13 (28%)	0.8 / 4 (20%)	1.3 / 1.25 (106%)
PFL	4.55	4.0	88%	3.1 / 4 (79%)	0.6 / 0.4 (161%)	0.2 / 0.15 (155%)
Other	4	-0.9	-21%	1.1 / 2 (57%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)

PGA Locks: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	33 (26%)	23	70 %	87.95	5.83	0.18	7%
Slight Favorites	60 (48%)	35	58 %	121.50	4.86	0.08	4%
Slight Underdogs	30 (24%)	11	37 %	31.19	-10.49	-0.35	-34%
Big Underdogs	2 (2%)	0	0 %	1.25	-1.25	-0.63	-100%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	18 (14%)	11	61 %	49.50	-0.52	-0.03	-1%
Co-Main Event	13 (10%)	3	23 %	21.75	-13.03	-1.00	-60%
Position 3-5	40 (32%)	28	70 %	85.69	19.92	0.50	23%
6+ (Undercard)	54 (43%)	27	50 %	84.95	-7.42	-0.14	-9%

PGA Locks: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	18 (14%)	6	33 %	37.00	-18.38	-1.02	-50%
Light Heavy	6 (5%)	5	83 %	11.75	8.12	1.35	69%
Middleweight	17 (14%)	11	65 %	34.00	2.07	0.12	6%
Welterweight	16 (13%)	12	75 %	38.75	14.48	0.91	37%
Lightweight	26 (21%)	12	46 %	42.00	-2.90	-0.11	-7%
Featherweight	19 (15%)	12	63 %	32.29	0.93	0.05	3%
Bantamweight	11 (9%)	6	55 %	31.00	0.61	0.06	2%
Flyweight	6 (5%)	2	33 %	8.50	-4.90	-0.82	-58%

Women's Fights	6 (5%)	3	50 %	6.60	-1.08	-0.18	-16%
Featherweight	1 (1%)	1	100 %	1.00	0.56	0.56	56%
Bantamweight	1 (1%)		0 %	1.75	-1.75	-1.75	-100%
Flyweight	2 (2%)	1	50 %	2.35	0.75	0.37	32%
Strawweight	2 (2%)	1	50 %	1.50	-0.64	-0.32	-43%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	117 (68%)	81	69 %
Slight Favorites	48 (28%)	20	42 %
Slight Underdogs	7 (4%)	2	29 %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	172	103	60 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	41 (24%)	32	78 %
50-65%	54 (31%)	25	46 %
35-50%	46 (27%)	17	37 %
<35% chance	31 (18%)	9	29 %
	172	83	48 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	14 (8%)	10	71 %	1.51	1.83	1.20	1.3 (9%)
Goes to Decision	1 (1%)	1	100 %	2.00	2.00	2.00	1.0 (100%)
Does not go to Decision	6 (3%)	5	83 %	1.33	1.48	1.22	0.7 (11%)
Fight Doesn't Start Round X	2 (1%)	2	100 %	1.54	1.67	1.43	1.1 (55%)
X Wins by KO	46 (27%)	16	35 %	2.24	5.00	1.57	-9.4 (-20%)
X Wins by Sub	6 (3%)	1	17 %	3.54	7.00	2.30	-2.0 (-33%)
X Wins by Decision	3 (2%)	1	33 %	1.99	3.40	1.50	0.4 (13%)
X Wins Inside Distance	48 (28%)	23	48 %	1.84	3.70	1.33	-7.9 (-16%)
X Wins in Round X	9 (5%)	4	44 %	3.52	10.00	2.15	2.4 (27%)
Others	37 (22%)	20	54 %	1.77	7.00	1.23	-2.6 (-7%)
	172	83	48 %	1.94			-15.0 (-9%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail PGA Locks's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
16th Sep	UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II	12	8.1	67%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,080.64
23rd Sep	UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot	21	5.3	25%		$10.81	$1,080.64	$1,137.38
7th Oct	UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green	5	6.3	127%		$11.37	$1,137.38	$1,209.60
10th Oct	Contender Series 2023: Week 10	4	-0.9	-21%		$12.10	$1,209.60	$1,199.23
14th Oct	UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza	8.5	-6.2	-73%		$11.99	$1,199.23	$1,125.28
21st Oct	UFC 294	9	-0.8	-9%		$11.25	$1,125.28	$1,116.56
4th Nov	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida	3.5	1.8	51%		$11.17	$1,116.56	$1,136.60
11th Nov	UFC 295	13.8	0.4	3%		$11.37	$1,136.60	$1,140.84
2nd Dec	UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan	3	-3.0	-100%		$11.41	$1,140.84	$1,106.62
9th Dec	UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez	4.75	3.1	65%		$11.07	$1,106.62	$1,140.72
16th Dec	UFC 296	12.15	7.5	62%		$11.41	$1,140.72	$1,226.37
13th Jan	UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker	7.25	0.7	10%		$12.26	$1,226.37	$1,235.34
20th Jan	UFC 297	13.09	-10.6	-81%		$12.35	$1,235.34	$1,103.78
3rd Feb	UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov	13.95	-4.4	-32%		$11.04	$1,103.78	$1,054.73
10th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer	11.2	-7.0	-62%		$10.55	$1,054.73	$981.03
17th Feb	UFC 298	15.15	-1.0	-7%		$9.81	$981.03	$970.75
24th Feb	PFL vs. Bellator: Champs	4.55	4.0	88%		$9.71	$970.75	$1,009.73
24th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval	11.55	-0.8	-7%		$10.10	$1,009.73	$1,001.39
2nd Mar	UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev	7.9	-5.5	-69%		$10.01	$1,001.39	$946.53
9th Mar	UFC 299	12.6	4.6	36%		$9.47	$946.53	$989.81
16th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura	3.75	-2.6	-70%		$9.90	$989.81	$963.68
30th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot	15.7	1.5	10%		$9.64	$963.68	$978.49
6th Apr	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II	3.5	0.0	0%		$9.78	$978.49	$978.49
13th Apr	UFC 300	16.9	-0.5	-3%		$9.78	$978.49	$973.81
27th Apr	UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs Perez	5.5	-2.3	-42%		$9.74	$973.81	$951.17
4th May	UFC 301	16	2.7	17%		$9.51	$951.17	$976.91
11th May	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento	37.55	-22.3	-59%		$9.77	$976.91	$759.04
17th May	Bellator Champions Series	18.25	5.7	31%		$7.59	$759.04	$802.22
18th May	UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy	20.65	6.5	31%		$8.02	$802.22	$854.26

ROI % from starting bank balance: -14.57% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

PGA Locks: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	May '24	Abusupiyan Magomedov	Warlley Alves	1.40	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
2.	May '24	Angela Hill	Luana Pinheiro	1.71	0.5	Sub, R2 (4:12)
3.	May '24	Patrick Mix	Magomed Magomedov	1.38	1	U Decision (5 rounds)
4.	May '24	Aspen Ladd	Ekaterina Shakalova	1.56	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
5.	May '24	Themba Gorimbo	Ramiz Brahimaj	1.74	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
6.	May '24	Patrick Mix	Magomed Magomedov	1.36	10	U Decision (5 rounds)
7.	May '24	Sean Woodson	Alex Caceres	1.48	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
8.	May '24	Trey Waters	Billy Goff	1.61	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
9.	May '24	Sean Woodson	Alex Caceres	1.50	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
10.	May '24	Abusupiyan Magomedov	Warlley Alves	1.53	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
11.	May '24	Adrian Yanez	Vinicius Salvador	1.35	5	TKO, R1 (2:47)
12.	May '24	Derrick Lewis	Rodrigo Nascimento Ferreira	1.68	1	TKO, R3 (0:49)
13.	May '24	Alessandro Costa	Kevin Borjas	1.77	1	TKO, R2 (1:35)
14.	May '24	Drakkar Klose	Joaquim Silva	1.50	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
15.	May '24	Myktybek Orolbai	Elves Brenner	1.38	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
16.	May '24	Joanderson Brito	Jack Shore	1.61	2	TKO, R2 (3:35)
17.	May '24	Carlos Ulberg	Alonzo Menifield	1.48	3	TKO, R1 (0:12)
18.	Apr '24	Uros Medic	Tim Means	1.32	1	TKO, R1 (2:9)
19.	Apr '24	Deiveson Figueiredo	Cody Garbrandt	1.32	1	Sub, R2 (4:2)
20.	Apr '24	Diego Lopes	Sodiq Yusuff	1.70	1	TKO, R1 (1:29)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	May '24	Kleydson Rodrigues	Heili Alateng	1.69	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
2.	May '24	Kleydson Rodrigues	Heili Alateng	1.68	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
3.	May '24	Jonas Bilharinho	Yves Landu	1.48	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
4.	May '24	Viacheslav Borshchev	Chase Hooper	1.77	1	Sub, R2 (3:0)	No
5.	May '24	Terrance McKinney	Esteban Ribovics	2.38	0.5	TKO, R1 (0:37)	No
6.	May '24	Robelis Despaigne	Waldo Cortes-Acosta	1.50	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
7.	May '24	Nursulton Ruziboev	Joaquin Buckley	2.40	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
8.	May '24	J.J. Aldrich	Veronica Macedo	2.20	0.25	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
9.	May '24	Mateusz Rebecki	Carlos Diego Ferreira	1.34	2	TKO, R3 (4:51)	No
10.	May '24	Robelis Despaigne	Waldo Cortes-Acosta	1.56	3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
11.	May '24	Jake Hadley	Charles Johnson	1.61	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
12.	May '24	Nursulton Ruziboev	Joaquin Buckley	2.35	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
13.	May '24	Terrance McKinney	Esteban Ribovics	2.60	2	TKO, R1 (0:37)	No
14.	May '24	Robelis Despaigne	Waldo Cortes-Acosta	1.59	5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
15.	May '24	Jonathan Martinez	Jose Aldo	1.65	3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
16.	Apr '24	Matheus Nicolau	Alex Perez	1.56	2	TKO, R2 (2:16)	No
17.	Apr '24	Justin Gaethje	Max Holloway	1.65	1	TKO, R5 (4:59)	No
18.	Apr '24	Jalin Turner	Renato Moicano	1.44	1	TKO, R2 (4:11)	No
19.	Apr '24	Charles Oliveira	Arman Tsarukyan	2.85	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
20.	Apr '24	Jim Miller	Bobby Green	2.54	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

PGA Locks: Progress Chart

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