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MMA Handicapper Stats: Smart Capper

Smart Capper (SmartCapper)


MMA MHandicapper - Smart Capper

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 107 (47%) Right 85 (51%) Right 20 (35%) Right 2 (100%)
Wrong 119 (53%) Wrong 82 (49%) Wrong 37 (65%) Wrong 0 (0%)
Avg Odds 2.26 Avg Odds 2.12 Avg Odds 2.85 Avg Odds 1.76
Units Bet 307.3 Units Bet 250.2 Units Bet 51.7 Units Bet 5.5
Avg Bet 1.36 Avg Bet 1.50 Avg Bet 0.91 Avg Bet 2.75
Units Profit 31.91 Units Profit 18.46 Units Profit 9.31 Units Profit 4.14
ROI % 10% ROI % 7% ROI % 18% ROI % 75%
View Handicapper's Profile

Smart Capper: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
11th May '24 UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento 22.05 4.9 22% 2.5 / 13.6 (19%) 0.2 / 5.45 (4%) 2.2 / 3 (72%)
11th May '24 KSW 94 2.5 -1.4 -56% -1.4 / 2.5 (-56%)
11th May '24 Brave CF 82 3 -3.0 -100% -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
4th May '24 UFC 301 20.8 1.5 7% -0.5 / 14.5 (-3%) 2.0 / 6.3 (32%)
4th May '24 Oktagon 57 6.95 -4.5 -65% -4.5 / 6.95 (-65%)
3rd May '24 One Fight Night 22 4.5 -2.0 -44% -2.0 / 4.5 (-44%)
3rd May '24 LFA 183 3 -0.7 -25% -0.7 / 3 (-25%)
29th Apr '24 Rizin 46 4 3.9 98% 3.9 / 4 (98%)
27th Apr '24 UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs Perez 11.15 -4.1 -36% -2.2 / 6.45 (-33%) -1.9 / 4.7 (-40%)
20th Apr '24 Oktagon 56 4.9 2.3 46% 2.3 / 4.9 (46%)
20th Apr '24 Cage Warriors 171 5.65 1.4 25% 1.4 / 5.65 (25%)
19th Apr '24 PFL 3: 2024 Regular Season 5.65 1.1 19% 1.1 / 5.65 (19%)
19th Apr '24 ACA 174 4.5 4.0 90% 4.0 / 4.5 (90%)
13th Apr '24 UFC 300 21.9 12.7 58% 5.9 / 16 (37%) 6.8 / 5.9 (115%)
12th Apr '24 PFL 2: 2024 Regular Season 7.1 -3.0 -42% -3.0 / 7.1 (-42%)
6th Apr '24 UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II 3 4.9 165% 4.9 / 3 (165%)
5th Apr '24 LFA 181 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
4th Apr '24 PFL 1: 2024 Regular Season 4.75 -0.0 -0% -0.0 / 4.75 (-0%)
30th Mar '24 UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot 12.9 4.2 32% 4.2 / 12.9 (32%)
30th Mar '24 Cage Warriors 169 1 1.5 145% 1.5 / 1 (145%)
23rd Mar '24 UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas 14.45 -8.5 -59% -8.5 / 14.45 (-59%)
23rd Mar '24 Oktagon 55 8.5 4.7 55% 4.7 / 8.5 (55%)
22nd Mar '24 Rizin Landmark 9 6.75 -0.3 -5% -0.3 / 6.75 (-5%)
22nd Mar '24 Bellator Champions Series 3.5 -0.4 -13% -0.4 / 3.5 (-13%)
16th Mar '24 UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura 11.5 1.6 14% 1.6 / 11.5 (14%)
16th Mar '24 Cage Warriors 168 4 4.7 118% 4.7 / 4 (118%)
16th Mar '24 KSW 92 6.05 -2.8 -46% -2.8 / 6.05 (-46%)
6th May '23 UFC 288 4 3.1 77% 3.1 / 4 (77%)
29th Apr '23 UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simón 5.5 0.5 10% 0.5 / 5.5 (10%)
22nd Apr '23 Bellator 295 5 -1.5 -29% -1.5 / 5 (-29%)
22nd Apr '23 UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes 4 1.1 27% 1.1 / 4 (27%)
15th Apr '23 UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen 10 -7.3 -73% -7.3 / 10 (-73%)
14th Apr '23 LFA 156 1.5 1.4 91% 1.4 / 1.5 (91%)
14th Apr '23 PFL 3: 2023 5 2.5 50% 2.5 / 5 (50%)
8th Apr '23 UFC 287 8.85 -0.5 -6% -1.4 / 4 (-36%) 0.9 / 4.85 (19%)
7th Apr '23 PFL 2: 2023 5.5 2.8 51% 4.3 / 4 (107%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
1st Apr '23 PFL 1: 2023 4.5 2.2 49% 2.2 / 4.5 (49%)
1st Apr '23 Rizin 41 3.5 0.7 21% 0.7 / 3.5 (21%)
31st Mar '23 Bellator 293 2 0.3 15% 0.3 / 2 (15%)
25th Mar '23 UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen 5 -2.2 -43% -2.2 / 5 (-43%)
18th Mar '23 UFC 286 16.95 -4.9 -29% -4.0 / 6.75 (-59%) -2.9 / 7.7 (-38%) 2.0 / 2.5 (79%)
11th Mar '23 UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili 12.75 9.7 76% 1.8 / 2.5 (71%) 7.9 / 10.25 (77%)


Winning Events: 24 (57%)
Losing Events: 18 (43%)

Average Staked Per Event: 7.12 units
Most Staked On One Event: 22.05 units
Best Event: 12.65 units
Worst Event: -8.52 units
Average Event: 0.70 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 5, Units: 21.48
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -8.52

Smart Capper: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2024 205.05 21.6 11% 12.3 / 179.7 (7%) 2.2 / 3 (72%) 14 / 13 (52%) 0.80
2023 94.05 8.0 8% 3.8 / 62.25 (6%) 2.0 / 2.5 (79%) 10 / 5 (67%) 0.53

Smart Capper: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Smart Capper: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 184.8 16.7 9% 1.8 / 129.15 (1%) 10.8 / 50.15 (22%) 4.1 / 5.5 (75%)
Bellator 10.5 -1.6 -15% -1.6 / 10.5 (-15%)
PFL 32.5 5.6 17% 7.1 / 31 (23%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
Other 71.3 8.8 12% 8.8 / 71.3 (12%)

Smart Capper: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 7 (4%) 6 86 % 20.60 4.86 0.69 24%
Slight Favorites 60 (36%) 33 55 % 113.05 -8.57 -0.14 -8%
Slight Underdogs 74 (44%) 39 53 % 96.00 23.96 0.32 25%
Big Underdogs 26 (16%) 7 27 % 20.50 -1.80 -0.07 -9%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 20 (12%) 13 65 % 31.25 9.91 0.50 32%
Co-Main Event 22 (13%) 10 45 % 33.65 -2.79 -0.13 -8%
Position 3-5 44 (26%) 25 57 % 59.50 16.72 0.38 28%
6+ (Undercard) 81 (49%) 37 46 % 125.75 -5.38 -0.07 -4%

Smart Capper: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 20 (12%) 10 50 % 33.25 0.56 0.03 2%
Light Heavy 15 (9%) 7 47 % 22.25 2.34 0.16 11%
Middleweight 15 (9%) 8 53 % 21.05 0.93 0.06 4%
Welterweight 15 (9%) 7 47 % 19.45 0.70 0.05 4%
Lightweight 25 (15%) 14 56 % 35.90 8.26 0.33 23%
Featherweight 33 (20%) 15 45 % 46.25 2.17 0.07 5%
Bantamweight 20 (12%) 12 60 % 30.65 8.27 0.41 27%
Flyweight 11 (7%) 6 55 % 21.50 -4.89 -0.44 -23%
               
Women's Fights 13 (8%) 6 46 % 19.85 0.13 0.01 1%
Featherweight 2 (1%) 0 % 2.50 -2.50 -1.25 -100%
Bantamweight 1 (1%) 1 100 % 2.00 1.18 1.18 59%
Flyweight 3 (2%) 1 33 % 4.50 -0.20 -0.07 -4%
Strawweight 7 (4%) 4 57 % 10.85 1.65 0.24 15%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 2 (100%) 2 100 %
Slight Favorites 0 (0%) 0 nan %
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
2 2 100 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 3 (5%) 2 67 %
50-65% 17 (29%) 12 71 %
35-50% 14 (24%) 2 14 %
<35% chance 25 (42%) 6 24 %
59 22 37 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 11 (19%) 8 73 % 1.84 2.30Pick was correct 1.57Pick was correct 3.4 (31%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 11 (19%) 5 45 % 1.90 2.40Pick was incorrect 1.56Pick was correct -1.9 (-17%)
Goes to Decision 3 (5%) 1 33 % 2.06 3.10Pick was incorrect 1.33Pick was correct -1.7 (-56%)
X Wins by KO 3 (5%) 0 0 % 11.56 14.00Pick was incorrect 9.00Pick was incorrect -3.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Sub 10 (17%) 2 20 % 9.28 20.00Pick was incorrect 5.00Pick was incorrect 25.0 (250%)
X Wins by Decision 2 (3%) 2 100 % 4.24 6.00Pick was correct 3.28Pick was correct 7.3 (364%)
X Wins Inside Distance 6 (10%) 0 0 % 2.45 3.40Pick was incorrect 1.87Pick was incorrect -6.0 (-100%)
X Wins in Round X 5 (8%) 1 20 % 17.65 41.00Pick was correct 8.50Pick was incorrect 36.0 (720%)
Others 8 (14%) 3 38 % 2.13 9.00Pick was incorrect 1.29Pick was correct -1.6 (-20%)
59 22 37 % 2.74     57.5 (97%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Smart Capper's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
11th Mar UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili 12.75 9.7 76% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,096.56
18th Mar UFC 286 16.95 -4.9 -29% $10.97 $1,096.56 $1,042.65
25th Mar UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen 5 -2.2 -43% $10.43 $1,042.65 $1,020.07
31st Mar Bellator 293 2 0.3 15% $10.20 $1,020.07 $1,023.13
1st Apr Rizin 41 3.5 0.7 21% $10.23 $1,023.13 $1,030.79
1st Apr PFL 1: 2023 4.5 2.2 49% $10.31 $1,030.79 $1,053.72
7th Apr PFL 2: 2023 5.5 2.8 51% $10.54 $1,053.72 $1,083.13
8th Apr UFC 287 8.85 -0.5 -6% $10.83 $1,083.13 $1,077.39
14th Apr PFL 3: 2023 5 2.5 50% $10.77 $1,077.39 $1,104.58
14th Apr LFA 156 1.5 1.4 91% $11.05 $1,104.58 $1,119.65
15th Apr UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen 10 -7.3 -73% $11.20 $1,119.65 $1,037.91
22nd Apr UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes 4 1.1 27% $10.38 $1,037.91 $1,049.33
22nd Apr Bellator 295 5 -1.5 -29% $10.49 $1,049.33 $1,034.01
29th Apr UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simón 5.5 0.5 10% $10.34 $1,034.01 $1,039.61
6th May UFC 288 4 3.1 77% $10.40 $1,039.61 $1,071.84
16th Mar KSW 92 6.05 -2.8 -46% $10.72 $1,071.84 $1,041.82
16th Mar Cage Warriors 168 4 4.7 118% $10.42 $1,041.82 $1,090.79
16th Mar UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura 11.5 1.6 14% $10.91 $1,090.79 $1,108.79
22nd Mar Bellator Champions Series 3.5 -0.4 -13% $11.09 $1,108.79 $1,103.80
22nd Mar Rizin Landmark 9 6.75 -0.3 -5% $11.04 $1,103.80 $1,100.23
23rd Mar Oktagon 55 8.5 4.7 55% $11.00 $1,100.23 $1,151.39
23rd Mar UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas 14.45 -8.5 -59% $11.51 $1,151.39 $1,053.25
30th Mar Cage Warriors 169 1 1.5 145% $10.53 $1,053.25 $1,068.52
30th Mar UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot 12.9 4.2 32% $10.69 $1,068.52 $1,113.22
4th Apr PFL 1: 2024 Regular Season 4.75 -0.0 -0% $11.13 $1,113.22 $1,113.22
5th Apr LFA 181 1 -1.0 -100% $11.13 $1,113.22 $1,102.09
6th Apr UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II 3 4.9 165% $11.02 $1,102.09 $1,156.64
12th Apr PFL 2: 2024 Regular Season 7.1 -3.0 -42% $11.57 $1,156.64 $1,121.94
13th Apr UFC 300 21.9 12.7 58% $11.22 $1,121.94 $1,263.90
19th Apr ACA 174 4.5 4.0 90% $12.64 $1,263.90 $1,315.00
19th Apr PFL 3: 2024 Regular Season 5.65 1.1 19% $13.15 $1,315.00 $1,329.46
20th Apr Cage Warriors 171 5.65 1.4 25% $13.29 $1,329.46 $1,348.37
20th Apr Oktagon 56 4.9 2.3 46% $13.48 $1,348.37 $1,378.91
27th Apr UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs Perez 11.15 -4.1 -36% $13.79 $1,378.91 $1,323.06
29th Apr Rizin 46 4 3.9 98% $13.23 $1,323.06 $1,374.66
3rd May LFA 183 3 -0.7 -25% $13.75 $1,374.66 $1,364.35
3rd May One Fight Night 22 4.5 -2.0 -44% $13.64 $1,364.35 $1,337.07
4th May Oktagon 57 6.95 -4.5 -65% $13.37 $1,337.07 $1,276.90
4th May UFC 301 20.8 1.5 7% $12.77 $1,276.90 $1,295.97
11th May Brave CF 82 3 -3.0 -100% $12.96 $1,295.97 $1,257.09
11th May KSW 94 2.5 -1.4 -56% $12.57 $1,257.09 $1,239.49
11th May UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento 22.05 4.9 22% $12.39 $1,239.49 $1,300.21


ROI % from starting bank balance: 30.02% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Smart Capper: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. May '24 Mike Shipman Steven Hill 2.20 1 TKO, R1 (5:0) MMA Bookmaker
2. May '24 Sergey Shirkunov Muso Vistokadamov 2.50 1 Sub, R3 (4:56) MMA Bookmaker
3. May '24 Roman Ogulchanskiy Levan Makashvili 1.69 1.45 Sub, R1 (2:34) MMA Bookmaker
4. May '24 Anatoly Kondratiev Ruslan Abiltarov 2.35 0.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. May '24 Wagner Prado Alexey Efremov 1.80 1.25 TKO, R1 (3:52) MMA Bookmaker
6. May '24 Louis Glismann Lukasz Siwiec 1.69 1.45 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. May '24 Lincon Santos Renildo Monteiro 2.25 1 TKO, R3 (4:59) MMA Bookmaker
8. May '24 Akbar Abdullaev Halil Amir 1.67 1.5 TKO, R2 (2:52) MMA Bookmaker
9. May '24 Michal Michalski Bartosz Lesko 2.20 0.5 TKO, R1 (1:42) MMA Bookmaker
10. Apr '24 Chihiro Suzuki Masanori Kanehara 2.25 1.5 TKO, R1 (4:20) MMA Bookmaker
11. Apr '24 Noah Bey Yusaku Inoue 2.10 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. Apr '24 Shinobu Ota Juntarou Ushiku 2.75 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
13. Apr '24 Gabriel Alves Braga Justin Gonzales 1.61 1.65 TKO, R1 (4:59) MMA Bookmaker
14. Apr '24 Keir Harvie Kaique Modesto 1.67 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. Apr '24 Aidan Stephen Gianluca Scottoli 1.87 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
16. May '24 Sean Woodson Alex Caceres 1.91 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
17. May '24 Tabatha Ricci Tecia Torres 1.91 1.1 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
18. May '24 Chase Hooper Viacheslav Borshchev 2.65 1.5 Sub, R2 (3:0) MMA Bookmaker
19. May '24 Waldo Cortes-Acosta Robelis Despaigne 2.40 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
20. Apr '24 Will Fleury Daniel Skvor 1.59 3 Sub, R2 (1:14) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. May '24 Jair Jesuino Adlan Bataev 6.50 0.5 TKO, R1 (4:39) No MMA Bookmaker
2. May '24 Igor Zhirkov Renat Ondar 2.90 0.5 TKO, R2 (3:18) No MMA Bookmaker
3. May '24 Lance Palmer Alexey Polpudnikov 4.25 1 TKO, R2 (1:55) No MMA Bookmaker
4. May '24 Ekaterina Shakalova Aspen Ladd 2.85 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. May '24 Hurshed Nazarov Nicholas Hwende 1.69 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. May '24 Jose Torres Nkosi Ndebele 2.95 1 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. May '24 Alonzo Menifield Carlos Ulberg 2.95 0.5 TKO, R1 (0:12) No MMA Bookmaker
8. May '24 Nursulton Ruziboev Joaquin Buckley 2.60 1 U Decision (3 rounds) Yes MMA Bookmaker
9. May '24 Ihor Potieria Michel Pereira 6.00 0.5 Sub, R1 (0:54) No MMA Bookmaker
10. May '24 Cristiano Franca Gabriel Costa 4.25 0.5 Sub, R3 (3:10) No MMA Bookmaker
11. May '24 Gustavo Henrique Marcelo Marques 6.50 0.5 Sub, R1 (2:46) No MMA Bookmaker
12. May '24 Marlon Basilio Vinicius Pires 2.55 1 TKO, R3 (0:30) No MMA Bookmaker
13. May '24 Yong Hu Reece McLaren 2.40 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. May '24 Zhang Lipeng Maurice Abevi 2.10 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
15. May '24 Filip Stawowy Ivan Vitasović 1.91 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
16. May '24 Agy Sardari Losene Keita 5.00 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
17. May '24 Marc Doussis Pavol Langer 2.40 2 TKO, R1 (4:6) No MMA Bookmaker
18. May '24 Stipe Brcic Beno Adamia 1.54 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
19. May '24 Anita Bekus Mallory Martin 2.10 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
20. May '24 Billy Goff Trey Waters 2.45 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Smart Capper: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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