MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 6425
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 2371

MMA Handicapper Stats: VDL MMA

VDL MMA (VDLMMA)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	152 (39%)	Right	68 (49%)	Right	54 (31%)	Right	30 (43%)
Wrong	234 (61%)	Wrong	71 (51%)	Wrong	123 (69%)	Wrong	40 (57%)
Avg Odds	2.71	Avg Odds	2.07	Avg Odds	3.57	Avg Odds	2.71
Units Bet	642.1	Units Bet	305.5	Units Bet	156.7	Units Bet	179.9
Avg Bet	1.66	Avg Bet	2.20	Avg Bet	0.89	Avg Bet	2.57
Units Profit	-21.12	Units Profit	-22.61	Units Profit	6.52	Units Profit	-5.03
ROI %	-3%	ROI %	-7%	ROI %	4%	ROI %	-3%

VDL MMA: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
18th May '24	UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy	11	-5.2	-47%	-2.5 / 6.5 (-38%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)	-2.3 / 4 (-56%)
11th May '24	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento	11	-2.0	-18%	-2.0 / 11 (-18%)
30th Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot	17	-17.0	-100%	-13.0 / 13 (-100%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
23rd Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas	11	3.2	29%	3.2 / 11 (29%)
16th Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura	14.8	-5.0	-34%		-0.4 / 3.8 (-11%)	-4.6 / 11 (-42%)
9th Mar '24	UFC 299	32.3	1.0	3%	0.6 / 16 (3%)	-4.5 / 11.3 (-40%)	4.9 / 5 (98%)
2nd Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev	33.85	1.3	4%	2.6 / 4.5 (58%)	-2.6 / 22.85 (-11%)	1.3 / 6.5 (20%)
24th Feb '24	UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval	23.25	-5.9	-25%	1.8 / 13.5 (14%)	-4.8 / 6.75 (-70%)	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
24th Feb '24	PFL vs. Bellator: Champs	12	9.4	79%	5.5 / 8 (69%)		3.9 / 4 (97%)
17th Feb '24	UFC 298	23.7	-6.2	-26%	-7.3 / 12.5 (-59%)	1.0 / 5.7 (18%)	0.1 / 5.5 (2%)
10th Feb '24	UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer	22.1	-13.7	-62%	-7.3 / 12 (-61%)	-0.4 / 4.1 (-10%)	-6.0 / 6 (-100%)
3rd Feb '24	UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov	17	-0.3	-2%	-3.2 / 8 (-40%)	-0.5 / 5 (-11%)	3.5 / 4 (87%)
20th Jan '24	UFC 297	11.9	3.6	30%	-2.1 / 4.8 (-43%)	2.0 / 2.6 (77%)	3.6 / 4.5 (81%)
13th Jan '24	UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker	20	9.0	45%	3.2 / 15 (21%)		5.9 / 5 (117%)
31st Dec '23	Rizin 45	16.81	-6.2	-37%	-3.0 / 13.56 (-22%)		-3.3 / 3.25 (-100%)
16th Dec '23	UFC 296	19.25	3.8	20%	0.3 / 13.5 (2%)	0.6 / 2 (29%)	2.9 / 3.75 (78%)
9th Dec '23	UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez	17	6.1	36%	0.3 / 7.3 (4%)	-0.0 / 4.7 (-1%)	5.8 / 5 (117%)
2nd Dec '23	UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan	20.7	2.7	13%	5.9 / 13.5 (44%)	-0.2 / 4.2 (-4%)	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
24th Nov '23	PFL 10: 2023 PFL World Championship	13.5	5.7	42%	3.3 / 8.5 (38%)		2.4 / 5 (49%)
18th Nov '23	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig	16.9	-0.2	-1%	-3.1 / 13 (-24%)	2.9 / 3.9 (75%)
11th Nov '23	UFC 295	20.5	10.3	50%	7.8 / 11 (71%)	1.6 / 6.5 (25%)	0.9 / 3 (31%)
4th Nov '23	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida	14.5	-10.5	-72%	-5.5 / 5.5 (-100%)	-2.5 / 6.5 (-38%)	-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
21st Oct '23	UFC 294	24.5	3.8	16%	2.2 / 6.5 (34%)	3.6 / 16 (23%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
15th Jul '23	UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva	12.5	-6.5	-52%	-4.3 / 9 (-47%)	-2.2 / 3.5 (-64%)
1st Jul '23	UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov	13	0.1	1%	0.1 / 13 (1%)
24th Jun '23	UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria	22.92	-4.4	-19%	-6.9 / 10.92 (-63%)	-0.7 / 8 (-9%)	3.3 / 4 (82%)
10th Jun '23	UFC 289	25.3	9.5	38%	3.6 / 8 (45%)	10.9 / 12.3 (88%)	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
8th Jun '23	PFL 4: Regular Season	5	-5.0	-100%			-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
20th May '23	UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Dern	12.65	-9.5	-75%	-9.3 / 9.25 (-100%)	0.8 / 2.4 (33%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
13th May '23	UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida	27	15.5	58%	0.8 / 3 (25%)	1.1 / 1 (110%)	13.7 / 23 (59%)
6th May '23	UFC 288	10	-0.7	-7%	2.3 / 7 (34%)		-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
29th Apr '23	UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simón	10.5	1.0	9%	2.2 / 4 (54%)	-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)	1.3 / 4 (33%)
18th Mar '23	UFC 286	3	-3.0	-100%			-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
11th Mar '23	UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili	13.4	-7.4	-55%		-5.4 / 7 (-77%)	-2.0 / 6.4 (-32%)
4th Mar '23	UFC 285	19.43	3.5	18%	0.6 / 1.43 (40%)	10.0 / 6.5 (154%)	-7.1 / 11.5 (-62%)
25th Feb '23	UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen	11.9	4.5	38%	0.4 / 0.5 (80%)	0.8 / 1.9 (43%)	3.3 / 9.5 (34%)
25th Feb '23	Bellator 291	2.5	-0.3	-14%	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)	0.2 / 2 (8%)
18th Feb '23	UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield	19.8	-11.2	-57%	1.1 / 1 (110%)	-5.3 / 11.8 (-45%)	-7.0 / 7 (-100%)
11th Feb '23	UFC 284	8.8	-1.0	-11%	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)	4.5 / 3.3 (136%)	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)
21st Jan '23	UFC 283	12.7	5.9	46%	0.9 / 8.2 (12%)		4.9 / 4.5 (110%)

Winning Events: 19 (48%)
Losing Events: 21 (53%)

Average Staked Per Event: 16.37 units
Most Staked On One Event: 33.85 units
Best Event: 15.53 units
Worst Event: -17.00 units
Average Event: -0.53 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 18.28
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -24.19

VDL MMA: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2024	260.9	-27.7	-11%	-20.4 / 135.8 (-15%)		4.3 / 61.5 (7%)	6 / 8 (43%)	-1.98
2023	394.06	6.6	2%	-2.2 / 169.66 (-1%)		-9.4 / 118.4 (-8%)	13 / 13 (50%)	0.25

VDL MMA: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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VDL MMA: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	605.15	-24.7	-4%	-27.9 / 274.9 (-10%)	6.4 / 167.6 (4%)	-3.1 / 162.65 (-2%)
Bellator	2.5	-0.3	-14%	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)	0.2 / 2 (8%)
PFL	30.5	10.1	33%	8.8 / 16.5 (53%)		1.3 / 14 (9%)
Other	16.81	-6.2	-37%	-3.0 / 13.56 (-22%)		-3.3 / 3.25 (-100%)

VDL MMA: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	22 (15%)	14	64 %	78.68	-10.09	-0.46	-13%
Slight Favorites	35 (24%)	20	57 %	85.00	-2.12	-0.06	-2%
Slight Underdogs	63 (44%)	28	44 %	109.50	-0.67	-0.01	-1%
Big Underdogs	24 (17%)	7	29 %	32.28	-9.73	-0.41	-30%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	26 (18%)	8	31 %	57.75	-22.71	-0.87	-39%
Co-Main Event	15 (10%)	9	60 %	32.50	4.49	0.30	14%
Position 3-5	37 (26%)	16	43 %	85.47	-14.89	-0.40	-17%
6+ (Undercard)	66 (46%)	36	55 %	129.74	10.50	0.16	8%

VDL MMA: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	10 (7%)	8	80 %	17.50	13.43	1.34	77%
Light Heavy	5 (3%)	1	20 %	9.00	-5.20	-1.04	-58%
Middleweight	20 (14%)	7	35 %	43.85	-13.01	-0.65	-30%
Welterweight	16 (11%)	9	56 %	33.00	-1.25	-0.08	-4%
Lightweight	26 (18%)	11	42 %	56.75	-4.56	-0.18	-8%
Featherweight	16 (11%)	6	38 %	36.80	-9.99	-0.62	-27%
Bantamweight	16 (11%)	8	50 %	37.50	-2.18	-0.14	-6%
Flyweight	15 (10%)	9	60 %	33.56	5.55	0.37	17%

Women's Fights	20 (14%)	10	50 %	37.50	-5.40	-0.27	-14%
Bantamweight	2 (1%)	1	50 %	3.50	-1.00	-0.50	-29%
Flyweight	6 (4%)	4	67 %	10.50	-0.80	-0.13	-8%
Strawweight	12 (8%)	5	42 %	23.50	-3.60	-0.30	-15%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	86 (83%)	67	78 %
Slight Favorites	15 (14%)	12	80 %
Slight Underdogs	3 (3%)	3	100 %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	104	82	79 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	93 (30%)	69	74 %
50-65%	40 (13%)	19	48 %
35-50%	51 (16%)	22	43 %
<35% chance	129 (41%)	26	20 %
	313	136	43 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	93 (30%)	67	72 %	1.49	3.10	1.14	8.5 (9%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	43 (14%)	20	47 %	1.54	3.75	1.12	-10.5 (-25%)
Does not go to Decision	8 (3%)	5	63 %	1.46	2.21	1.20	-1.1 (-14%)
Fight Starts Round X	2 (1%)	2	100 %	1.81	2.42	1.45	1.9 (94%)
X Wins by KO	13 (4%)	3	23 %	4.30	9.50	2.40	-1.9 (-14%)
X Wins by Sub	23 (7%)	3	13 %	5.15	15.00	2.15	-9.0 (-39%)
X Wins by Decision	35 (11%)	12	34 %	3.38	9.50	2.00	8.3 (24%)
X Wins Inside Distance	21 (7%)	9	43 %	2.81	7.50	1.72	1.8 (9%)
X Wins in Round X	26 (8%)	4	15 %	5.73	17.00	2.00	-9.7 (-37%)
Others	49 (16%)	11	22 %	3.69	66.01	1.20	18.3 (37%)
	313	136	43 %	2.23			6.7 (2%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail VDL MMA's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
21st Jan	UFC 283	12.7	5.9	46%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,058.73
11th Feb	UFC 284	8.8	-1.0	-11%		$10.59	$1,058.73	$1,048.15
18th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield	19.8	-11.2	-57%		$10.48	$1,048.15	$930.39
25th Feb	Bellator 291	2.5	-0.3	-14%		$9.30	$930.39	$927.13
25th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen	11.9	4.5	38%		$9.27	$927.13	$968.69
4th Mar	UFC 285	19.43	3.5	18%		$9.69	$968.69	$1,002.27
11th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili	13.4	-7.4	-55%		$10.02	$1,002.27	$928.08
18th Mar	UFC 286	3	-3.0	-100%		$9.28	$928.08	$900.23
29th Apr	UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simón	10.5	1.0	9%		$9.00	$900.23	$908.91
6th May	UFC 288	10	-0.7	-7%		$9.09	$908.91	$903.00
13th May	UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida	27	15.5	58%		$9.03	$903.00	$1,043.23
20th May	UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Dern	12.65	-9.5	-75%		$10.43	$1,043.23	$944.64
8th Jun	PFL 4: Regular Season	5	-5.0	-100%		$9.45	$944.64	$897.41
10th Jun	UFC 289	25.3	9.5	38%		$8.97	$897.41	$982.57
24th Jun	UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria	22.92	-4.4	-19%		$9.83	$982.57	$939.49
1st Jul	UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov	13	0.1	1%		$9.39	$939.49	$940.85
15th Jul	UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva	12.5	-6.5	-52%		$9.41	$940.85	$879.84
21st Oct	UFC 294	24.5	3.8	16%		$8.80	$879.84	$913.58
4th Nov	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida	14.5	-10.5	-72%		$9.14	$913.58	$817.66
11th Nov	UFC 295	20.5	10.3	50%		$8.18	$817.66	$902.05
18th Nov	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig	16.9	-0.2	-1%		$9.02	$902.05	$900.61
24th Nov	PFL 10: 2023 PFL World Championship	13.5	5.7	42%		$9.01	$900.61	$951.80
2nd Dec	UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan	20.7	2.7	13%		$9.52	$951.80	$977.88
9th Dec	UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez	17	6.1	36%		$9.78	$977.88	$1,037.38
16th Dec	UFC 296	19.25	3.8	20%		$10.37	$1,037.38	$1,076.55
31st Dec	Rizin 45	16.81	-6.2	-37%		$10.77	$1,076.55	$1,009.70
13th Jan	UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker	20	9.0	45%		$10.10	$1,009.70	$1,101.05
20th Jan	UFC 297	11.9	3.6	30%		$11.01	$1,101.05	$1,140.27
3rd Feb	UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov	17	-0.3	-2%		$11.40	$1,140.27	$1,137.22
10th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer	22.1	-13.7	-62%		$11.37	$1,137.22	$981.65
17th Feb	UFC 298	23.7	-6.2	-26%		$9.82	$981.65	$920.80
24th Feb	PFL vs. Bellator: Champs	12	9.4	79%		$9.21	$920.80	$1,007.68
24th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval	23.25	-5.9	-25%		$10.08	$1,007.68	$947.98
2nd Mar	UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev	33.85	1.3	4%		$9.48	$947.98	$960.34
9th Mar	UFC 299	32.3	1.0	3%		$9.60	$960.34	$969.68
16th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura	14.8	-5.0	-34%		$9.70	$969.68	$921.30
23rd Mar	UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas	11	3.2	29%		$9.21	$921.30	$951.15
30th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot	17	-17.0	-100%		$9.51	$951.15	$789.45
11th May	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento	11	-2.0	-18%		$7.89	$789.45	$773.82
18th May	UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy	11	-5.2	-47%		$7.74	$773.82	$733.51

ROI % from starting bank balance: -26.65% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

VDL MMA: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	May '24	Ariane Carnelossi	Piera Rodriguez	2.70	1.5
2.	May '24	Waldo Cortes-Acosta	Robelis Despaigne	2.67	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
3.	May '24	Charles Johnson	Jake Hadley	2.37	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
4.	May '24	Chase Hooper	Viacheslav Borshchev	2.23	1	Sub, R2 (3:0)
5.	May '24	Veronica Macedo	J.J. Aldrich	1.75	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
6.	Mar '24	Payton Talbott	Cameron Saaiman	1.90	5	TKO, R2 (0:21)
7.	Mar '24	Rose Namajunas	Amanda Ribas	1.58	3	U Decision (5 rounds)
8.	Mar '24	Michael Page	Kevin Holland	2.10	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
9.	Mar '24	Petr Yan	Yadong Song	1.72	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
10.	Mar '24	Dustin Poirier	Benoit Saint-Denis	2.40	3	TKO, R2 (2:32)
11.	Mar '24	Aiemann Zahabi	Javid Basharat	5.00	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
12.	Mar '24	Loik Radzhabov	Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady	2.30	2	TKO, R3 (0:49)
13.	Feb '24	Jesus Santos Aguilar	Mateus Mendonca	2.25	2.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)
14.	Feb '24	Manuel Torres	Chris Duncan (2)	1.70	3	Sub, R1 (1:46)
15.	Feb '24	Brian Ortega	Yair Rodriguez	2.30	2	Sub, R3 (0:58)
16.	Feb '24	A.J. McKee	Clay Collard	1.36	4	Sub, R1 (1:10)
17.	Feb '24	Yoel Romero	Thiago Santos	1.90	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
18.	Feb '24	Renan Ferreira	Ryan Bader	2.15	2	TKO, R1 (0:21)
19.	Feb '24	Amanda Lemos	Mackenzie Dern	1.72	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
20.	Feb '24	Dan Ige	Andre Fili	1.57	3	TKO, R1 (2:43)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	May '24	Edson Barboza	Lerone Murphy	2.25	2	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
2.	May '24	Luana Pinheiro	Angela Hill	2.10	1	Sub, R2 (4:12)	No
3.	May '24	Carlston Harris	Kalinn Williams	2.10	2	TKO, R1 (1:30)	No
4.	May '24	Alex Caceres	Sean Woodson	2.65	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
5.	May '24	Mateusz Rebecki	Carlos Diego Ferreira	1.40	5	TKO, R3 (4:51)	No
6.	May '24	Terrance McKinney	Esteban Ribovics	2.72	1	TKO, R1 (0:37)	No
7.	Mar '24	Bill Algeo	Kyle Nelson	1.50	3	TKO, R1 (4:0)	No
8.	Mar '24	Andre Petroski	Jacob Malkoun	2.70	2	TKO, R2 (0:39)	No
9.	Mar '24	Lupita Godinez	Virna Jandiroba	1.57	3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
10.	Mar '24	Jamall Emmers	Nate Landwehr	1.53	5	TKO, R1 (4:43)	No
11.	Mar '24	Cody Gibson	Miles Johns	2.00	3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
12.	Mar '24	Marlon Vera	Sean O'Malley	3.00	2	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
13.	Mar '24	Pedro Munhoz	Kyler Phillips	2.80	3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
14.	Mar '24	Gilbert Burns	Jack Della Maddalena	2.00	3	TKO, R3 (3:43)	No
15.	Mar '24	Bernardo Sopai	Vinicius de Oliveira	2.10	2	TKO, R3 (4:41)	No
16.	Feb '24	Denys Bondar	Luis Rodriguez	2.00	2	Sub, R2 (4:59)	No
17.	Feb '24	Daniel Lacerda	Edgar Chairez	3.75	1	Sub, R1 (2:17)	No
18.	Feb '24	Brandon Moreno	Brandon Royval	1.40	3	Split Decision (5 rounds)	No
19.	Feb '24	Valentine Woodburn	Oban Elliott	3.25	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
20.	Feb '24	Brendson Ribeiro	Mingyang Zhang	2.20	2.5	TKO, R1 (1:41)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

VDL MMA: Progress Chart

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